Indiana State

11-21

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

45.9%Indiana State

54.1%Ball State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADBall State -1.9

PROJECTED TOTAL142.7

MODEL MONEYLINEBall State -118

Ball State

12-19

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreIndiana State 70

Projected Total142.7

Projected ScoreBall State 72

Team Comparison

Indiana StateMetricBall State

44.4MMH Power Index41.3

104.7Offensive Efficiency101.7

106.0Defensive Efficiency104.7

-1.3Net Efficiency-3.0

0.1Strength of Schedule-3.9

-5.2Last 10 Net Efficiency-0.9

70.3Tempo66.4

53.6%Effective FG%48.3%

19.5%Turnover Rate16.0%

27.3%Offensive Rebound %26.5%

28.8%Free Throw Rate33.0%

-0.9Average Margin-2.0

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Indiana State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY54.1%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMIndiana State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (44.4–41.3), offensive efficiency (104.7–101.7), net efficiency (-1.3–-3.0), strength of schedule (0.1–-3.9).

Ball State COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (104.7–106.0), recent form (-0.9–-5.2), ball security (16.0–19.5).

Final

Indiana State

83—72

Ball State

Indiana State by 11 • 70.8 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Indiana StateTEAM STATBall State

28-54FG26-60

52.0%FG%43.0%

9-243PT11-24

38.0%3PT%46.0%

18-23FT9-12

78.0%FT%75.0%

30Rebounds32

4Offensive Rebounds9

17Assists14

10Turnovers14

7Steals8

1Blocks4

17Fouls15

Player Box Score

Indiana State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Ryan Conwell	G	37	10-19	4-11	3-3	6	3	0	0	27
Isaiah Swope	Guard	35	6-13	2-6	4-5	5	1	1	0	18
Robbie Avila	C	32	4-6	2-3	4-6	5	7	1	0	14
Julian Larry	Guard	35	4-6	0-0	3-4	6	4	2	0	11
Jayson Kent	Forward	32	3-6	0-3	3-3	3	0	2	0	9
Xavier Bledson	Guard	7	1-1	1-1	1-2	2	1	0	0	4
Jake Wolfe	Guard	17	0-1	0-0	0-0	2	0	1	1	0
Aaron Gray	Forward	5	0-2	0-0	0-0	1	1	0	0	0

Ball State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jalin Anderson	Point Guard	38	7-16	2-5	2-3	8	6	2	0	18
Mason Jones	F	29	3-5	2-4	4-4	3	2	2	2	12
Davion Bailey	G	23	5-8	2-2	0-0	1	1	1	0	12
Basheer Jihad	Forward	40	3-10	1-4	3-5	6	0	0	1	10
Trent Middleton Jr.	G	10	3-5	3-4	0-0	0	0	0	0	9
Mickey Pearson Jr.	Forward	39	3-9	1-5	0-0	5	2	2	0	7
Ben Hendriks	Center	21	2-7	0-0	0-0	6	3	1	1	4

Advanced Game Stats

70.8Possessions70.8

117.2Offensive Efficiency101.7

101.7Defensive Efficiency117.2

15.5Net Efficiency-15.5

60.2%Effective FG%52.5%

63.9%True Shooting %54.8%

14.1%Turnover Rate19.8%

42.6%Free Throw Rate20.0%

44.4%3-Point Rate40.0%

1.70Assist / Turnover1.00

Game Summary

Indiana State won by 11 points. The game played at approximately 70.8 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.