Austin Peay

22-9

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

35.5%Austin Peay

64.5%Western Kentucky

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADWestern Kentucky -3.5

PROJECTED TOTAL158.4

MODEL MONEYLINEWestern Kentucky -182

Western Kentucky

18-14

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreAustin Peay 77

Projected Total158.4

Projected ScoreWestern Kentucky 81

Team Comparison

Austin PeayMetricWestern Kentucky

54.8MMH Power Index55.6

115.0Offensive Efficiency110.6

103.1Defensive Efficiency106.2

11.9Net Efficiency4.4

-5.8Strength of Schedule1.7

8.1Last 10 Net Efficiency5.2

71.0Tempo71.7

53.9%Effective FG%48.6%

15.3%Turnover Rate14.5%

30.3%Offensive Rebound %31.8%

39.0%Free Throw Rate42.9%

8.4Average Margin3.2

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Austin Peay HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY64.5%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–5

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMAustin Peay holds the advantage in offensive efficiency (115.0–110.6), defensive efficiency (103.1–106.2), net efficiency (11.9–4.4), recent form (8.1–5.2).

Western Kentucky COUNTERS WITHMMH Power Index (55.6–54.8), strength of schedule (1.7–-5.8), ball security (14.5–15.3).

Final

Austin Peay

64—65

Western Kentucky

Western Kentucky by 1 • 65.4 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Austin PeayTEAM STATWestern Kentucky

24-57FG23-58

42.0%FG%40.0%

8-233PT6-22

35.0%3PT%27.0%

8-11FT13-18

73.0%FT%72.0%

35Rebounds38

6Offensive Rebounds10

12Assists14

9Turnovers9

6Steals5

1Blocks4

15Fouls9

Player Box Score

Austin Peay

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Dezi Jones	Guard	36	5-15	3-11	3-3	3	4	0	0	16
DeMarcus Sharp	Guard	39	7-20	0-0	0-0	9	6	3	1	14
Dez White	G	30	4-8	4-7	0-0	4	1	0	0	12
Sai Witt	Forward	17	2-3	0-0	5-8	1	0	0	0	9
Jordan Wilmore	Center	16	3-4	0-0	0-0	6	0	0	0	6
Ja'Monta Black	Guard	25	1-5	1-5	0-0	3	0	1	0	3
Daniel Loos	Forward	19	1-1	0-0	0-0	3	0	2	0	2
Hansel Enmanuel	PG	16	1-1	0-0	0-0	3	1	0	0	2
Isaac Haney	Guard	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Western Kentucky

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Don McHenry	G	29	7-17	1-4	1-1	6	3	1	0	16
Rodney Howard	Forward	27	6-10	0-0	0-0	4	0	2	0	12
Khristian Lander	Guard	34	2-7	2-5	1-2	4	2	0	0	7
Brandon Newman	Guard	24	2-7	1-6	2-2	6	1	1	0	7
Babacar Faye	F	13	2-3	0-0	2-2	4	0	0	0	6
Enoch Kalambay	G	10	1-3	1-1	3-4	3	0	0	0	6
Dontaie Allen	Guard	13	1-4	1-3	2-2	1	0	0	0	5
Tyrone Marshall Jr.	F	24	2-7	0-3	0-0	4	2	0	2	4
Jalen Jackson	Guard	25	0-0	0-0	2-5	3	6	1	2	2
Fallou Diagne	C	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

65.4Possessions65.4

97.9Offensive Efficiency99.4

99.4Defensive Efficiency97.9

-1.5Net Efficiency1.5

49.1%Effective FG%44.8%

51.4%True Shooting %48.8%

13.8%Turnover Rate13.7%

19.3%Free Throw Rate31.0%

40.4%3-Point Rate37.9%

1.33Assist / Turnover1.56

Game Summary

Western Kentucky won by 1 points. The game played at approximately 65.4 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Effective FG%, Net Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.