Missouri State

16-18

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

11.6%Missouri State

88.4%Tulsa

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADTulsa -14.7

PROJECTED TOTAL156.5

MODEL MONEYLINETulsa -762

Tulsa

30-8

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreMissouri State 71

Projected Total156.5

Projected ScoreTulsa 86

Team Comparison

Missouri StateMetricTulsa

51.1MMH Power Index64.8

110.5Offensive Efficiency121.1

108.4Defensive Efficiency104.8

2.1Net Efficiency16.3

0.5Strength of Schedule0.0

-2.1Last 10 Net Efficiency10.3

67.9Tempo70.2

51.8%Effective FG%55.4%

16.4%Turnover Rate15.4%

33.0%Offensive Rebound %33.8%

42.9%Free Throw Rate42.4%

1.4Average Margin11.5

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Tulsa HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY88.4%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMTulsa holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (64.8–51.1), offensive efficiency (121.1–110.5), defensive efficiency (104.8–108.4), net efficiency (16.3–2.1).

Missouri State COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (0.5–0.0), free throw rate (42.9–42.4).

Final

Missouri State

72—73

Tulsa

Tulsa by 1 • 67.2 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Missouri StateTEAM STATTulsa

30-73FG25-52

41.0%FG%48.0%

8-273PT5-17

30.0%3PT%29.0%

4-8FT18-22

50.0%FT%82.0%

47Rebounds26

18Offensive Rebounds1

13Assists9

8Turnovers6

4Steals6

2Blocks4

15Fouls10

Player Box Score

Missouri State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Chance Moore	G	34	5-16	4-12	3-4	4	0	2	0	17
Donovan Clay	Guard	37	6-14	1-4	0-0	9	2	0	0	13
Alston Mason	Guard	35	5-11	2-4	1-2	1	4	1	0	13
Cesare Edwards	Center	20	6-8	0-1	0-0	5	1	1	0	12
Damien Mayo Jr.	G	33	3-10	1-4	0-0	5	4	0	0	7
NJ Benson	F	20	3-8	0-0	0-2	10	1	0	1	6
Tyler Bey	G	15	2-6	0-2	0-0	5	1	0	1	4
Raphe Ayres	Guard	6	0-0	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	0

Tulsa

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
PJ Haggerty	G	33	8-12	0-0	8-8	2	3	2	0	24
Isaiah Barnes	G	30	4-7	2-5	3-4	2	1	1	0	13
Cobe Williams	Guard	36	3-11	0-5	5-6	3	1	3	0	11
Jared Garcia	F	24	4-7	3-4	0-0	6	0	0	2	11
Tyshawn Archie	G	14	3-5	0-1	1-2	0	0	0	0	7
Carlous Williams	F	32	2-4	0-2	0-0	4	1	0	1	4
Jesaiah McWright	G	7	1-2	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	2
Matt Reed	F	10	0-3	0-0	1-2	5	2	0	0	1
Jarred Hall	F	8	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	1	0	1	0
Mohamed Keita	C	6	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

67.2Possessions67.2

107.1Offensive Efficiency108.6

108.6Defensive Efficiency107.1

-1.5Net Efficiency1.5

46.6%Effective FG%52.9%

46.9%True Shooting %58.4%

12.0%Turnover Rate8.9%

11.0%Free Throw Rate42.3%

37.0%3-Point Rate32.7%

1.63Assist / Turnover1.50

Game Summary

Tulsa won by 1 points. The game played at approximately 67.2 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, True Shooting %, Effective FG%.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.