Belmont

26-6

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

58.6%Belmont

41.4%Samford

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADBelmont -2.6

PROJECTED TOTAL159.1

MODEL MONEYLINEBelmont -142

Samford

18-14

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreBelmont 81

Projected Total159.1

Projected ScoreSamford 78

Team Comparison

BelmontMetricSamford

61.8MMH Power Index54.1

118.6Offensive Efficiency113.5

103.7Defensive Efficiency108.3

14.9Net Efficiency5.2

-0.2Strength of Schedule-2.9

10.0Last 10 Net Efficiency14.0

70.7Tempo69.5

60.7%Effective FG%54.0%

17.8%Turnover Rate13.3%

28.8%Offensive Rebound %25.3%

32.7%Free Throw Rate42.5%

10.5Average Margin3.6

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Belmont HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY58.6%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMBelmont holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (61.8–54.1), offensive efficiency (118.6–113.5), defensive efficiency (103.7–108.3), net efficiency (14.9–5.2).

Samford COUNTERS WITHrecent form (14.0–10.0), ball security (13.3–17.8), free throw rate (42.5–32.7).

Final

Belmont

93—99

Samford

Samford by 6 • 78.4 estimated possessions

Team Stats

BelmontTEAM STATSamford

28-56FG39-67

50.0%FG%58.0%

13-303PT10-23

43.0%3PT%43.0%

24-30FT11-16

80.0%FT%69.0%

30Rebounds32

9Offensive Rebounds9

19Assists25

17Turnovers13

8Steals8

2Blocks6

19Fouls21

Player Box Score

Belmont

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Cade Tyson	G	27	9-19	6-13	7-7	9	1	0	1	31
Ja'Kobi Gillespie	G	35	6-8	4-5	2-2	2	5	2	0	18
Keishawn Davidson	Guard	31	4-10	2-6	3-4	1	6	2	0	13
Malik Dia	F	19	4-9	0-2	3-4	2	1	1	0	11
Jayce Willingham	Guard	29	1-2	1-2	5-6	4	1	1	1	8
Brigham Rogers	F	17	3-3	0-0	2-5	2	1	1	0	8
Isaiah Walker	G	34	1-4	0-1	2-2	6	4	1	0	4
Win Miller	G	5	0-1	0-1	0-0	2	0	0	0	0
Kyler Vanderjagt	G	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Samford

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
AJ Staton-McCray	G	31	8-18	3-5	0-0	5	4	0	2	19
Riley Allenspach	F	14	6-7	0-0	3-3	0	2	0	1	15
Achor Achor	F	23	6-8	2-3	0-0	6	1	3	2	14
Rylan Jones	Guard	31	5-9	1-3	2-3	3	7	2	0	13
Garrett Hicks	Guard	19	4-6	1-3	3-4	0	1	0	0	12
Nathan Johnson	Forward	12	4-5	3-4	0-0	1	1	0	0	11
Dallas Graziani	Guard	23	3-4	0-1	1-1	0	4	0	0	7
Jermaine Marshall	Forward	28	3-8	0-4	0-3	12	2	2	0	6
Jaden Campbell	Guard	10	0-1	0-0	2-2	3	1	0	1	2
Josh Holloway	G	4	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	1	0	0	0
Lukas Walls	G	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	1	1	0	0
Chandler Leopard	Guard	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

78.4Possessions78.4

118.6Offensive Efficiency126.3

126.3Defensive Efficiency118.6

-7.7Net Efficiency7.7

61.6%Effective FG%65.7%

66.2%True Shooting %66.4%

21.7%Turnover Rate16.5%

53.6%Free Throw Rate23.9%

53.6%3-Point Rate34.3%

1.12Assist / Turnover1.92

Game Summary

Samford won by 6 points. The game played at approximately 78.4 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.