Chicago State

7-25

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

11.4%Chicago State

88.6%Valparaiso

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADValparaiso -14.7

PROJECTED TOTAL142.8

MODEL MONEYLINEValparaiso -777

Valparaiso

18-15

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreChicago State 64

Projected Total142.8

Projected ScoreValparaiso 79

Team Comparison

Chicago StateMetricValparaiso

36.1MMH Power Index49.9

99.4Offensive Efficiency106.6

114.9Defensive Efficiency105.8

-15.5Net Efficiency0.8

0.5Strength of Schedule0.3

-4.3Last 10 Net Efficiency-0.1

66.2Tempo67.5

45.6%Effective FG%48.7%

15.8%Turnover Rate15.6%

29.1%Offensive Rebound %32.4%

30.7%Free Throw Rate40.0%

-10.3Average Margin0.5

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Valparaiso HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY88.6%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

10–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMValparaiso holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (49.9–36.1), offensive efficiency (106.6–99.4), defensive efficiency (105.8–114.9), net efficiency (0.8–-15.5).

Chicago State COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (0.5–0.3).

Final

Chicago State

63—62

Valparaiso

Chicago State by 1 • 61.4 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Chicago StateTEAM STATValparaiso

20-43FG24-59

47.0%FG%41.0%

6-143PT6-24

43.0%3PT%25.0%

17-22FT8-11

77.0%FT%73.0%

30Rebounds30

10Offensive Rebounds15

13Assists14

17Turnovers13

8Steals9

4Blocks1

12Fouls14

Player Box Score

Chicago State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Wesley Cardet Jr.	Guard	37	8-12	3-3	9-12	6	4	1	0	28
Jahsean Corbett	Guard	38	4-8	0-2	6-6	8	0	2	1	14
Brent Davis	Guard	33	2-6	2-3	1-2	3	3	2	1	7
Cameron Jernigan	Forward	16	3-4	0-1	1-2	4	0	0	1	7
Deshawn Jean-Charles	G	17	1-5	1-2	0-0	1	0	1	0	3
Noble Crawford	Forward	31	1-4	0-2	0-0	5	1	1	1	2
Tehshaundre Cole	F	3	1-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	2
A.J. Neal Jr.	G	12	0-3	0-1	0-0	0	0	1	0	0
Kedrick Green	Guard	12	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	5	0	0	0
Tristan Arneaud	Guard	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Valparaiso

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jahari Williamson	G	22	6-10	4-6	4-5	1	1	0	0	20
Isaiah Stafford	G	34	4-16	1-9	0-0	5	3	2	0	9
Jaxon Edwards	G	32	3-14	1-4	0-0	9	1	0	0	7
Cooper Schwieger	F	19	3-6	0-2	1-2	0	0	1	0	7
Ola Ajiboye	F	15	3-3	0-0	1-2	4	0	1	1	7
Darius DeAveiro	Guard	30	2-4	0-0	2-2	2	6	3	0	6
Kaspar Sepp	F	29	2-2	0-0	0-0	5	2	0	0	4
Sherman Weatherspoon IV	G	3	1-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	2
Jerome Palm	F	8	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	1	0	0
Connor Barrett	Guard	8	0-3	0-3	0-0	0	1	1	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

61.4Possessions61.4

102.6Offensive Efficiency101.0

101.0Defensive Efficiency102.6

1.6Net Efficiency-1.6

53.5%Effective FG%45.8%

58.9%True Shooting %48.3%

28.1%Turnover Rate20.9%

51.2%Free Throw Rate18.6%

32.6%3-Point Rate40.7%

0.76Assist / Turnover1.08

Game Summary

Chicago State won by 1 points. The game played at approximately 61.4 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, True Shooting %, Effective FG%.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.