SE Louisiana

9-21

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

10.3%SE Louisiana

89.7%Murray State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADMurray State -14.4

PROJECTED TOTAL147.9

MODEL MONEYLINEMurray State -871

Murray State

20-13

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreSE Louisiana 67

Projected Total147.9

Projected ScoreMurray State 81

Team Comparison

SE LouisianaMetricMurray State

38.7MMH Power Index53.6

98.4Offensive Efficiency115.0

106.4Defensive Efficiency111.0

-8.0Net Efficiency4.0

0.2Strength of Schedule3.5

-11.9Last 10 Net Efficiency-9.5

63.9Tempo72.3

47.0%Effective FG%54.0%

18.5%Turnover Rate16.3%

29.4%Offensive Rebound %32.7%

38.9%Free Throw Rate39.1%

-5.1Average Margin2.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Murray State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY89.7%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

10–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMMurray State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (53.6–38.7), offensive efficiency (115.0–98.4), net efficiency (4.0–-8.0), strength of schedule (3.5–0.2).

SE Louisiana COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (106.4–111.0).

Final

SE Louisiana

61—55

Murray State

SE Louisiana by 6 • 55.1 estimated possessions

Team Stats

SE LouisianaTEAM STATMurray State

21-46FG15-47

46.0%FG%32.0%

8-233PT6-29

35.0%3PT%21.0%

11-13FT19-23

85.0%FT%83.0%

33Rebounds24

9Offensive Rebounds9

10Assists8

13Turnovers5

3Steals6

—Blocks1

19Fouls13

Player Box Score

SE Louisiana

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	PTS
Nick Caldwell	Guard	29	8-11	2-3	5-6	9	1	1	23
Roger McFarlane	Guard	35	6-11	2-5	2-2	9	0	0	16
Kam Burton	G	13	3-5	3-5	0-0	1	0	1	9
Brody Rowbury	F	38	2-5	0-0	1-1	4	0	0	5
Avery Wilson	Guard	9	1-1	0-0	0-0	0	2	0	2
Alec Woodard	Guard	37	0-8	0-6	1-2	5	4	0	1
Anthony Bittar	Guard	7	0-1	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	0
Jason Malbrue	Forward	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0
Dylan Canoville	Forward	1	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0

Murray State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Quincy Anderson	Guard	29	4-9	3-8	4-4	5	0	1	0	15
Rob Perry	Guard	33	3-10	2-6	4-6	3	1	1	0	12
Justin Morgan	Guard	24	2-6	1-5	6-6	7	0	0	1	11
Brian Moore Jr.	G	30	2-4	0-2	2-2	0	2	0	0	6
JaCobi Wood	Guard	36	2-9	0-6	1-1	2	3	1	0	5
Nick Ellington	F	33	1-4	0-0	2-2	4	0	3	0	4
Samuel Murray	F	7	1-3	0-0	0-0	0	1	0	0	2
Patrick Chew	Guard	8	0-2	0-2	0-2	0	1	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

55.1Possessions55.1

110.7Offensive Efficiency99.8

99.8Defensive Efficiency110.7

10.9Net Efficiency-10.9

54.3%Effective FG%38.3%

58.5%True Shooting %47.5%

23.1%Turnover Rate9.3%

28.3%Free Throw Rate48.9%

50.0%3-Point Rate61.7%

0.77Assist / Turnover1.60

Game Summary

SE Louisiana won by 6 points. The game played at approximately 55.1 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Effective FG%.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.