Southern Utah

10-22

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

47.6%Southern Utah

52.4%Northern Arizona

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADNorthern Arizona -1.5

PROJECTED TOTAL154.4

MODEL MONEYLINENorthern Arizona -110

Northern Arizona

10-22

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreSouthern Utah 76

Projected Total154.4

Projected ScoreNorthern Arizona 78

Team Comparison

Southern UtahMetricNorthern Arizona

40.6MMH Power Index36.9

105.6Offensive Efficiency107.1

110.0Defensive Efficiency114.8

-4.4Net Efficiency-7.7

-3.0Strength of Schedule-1.8

-3.3Last 10 Net Efficiency-16.5

72.3Tempo66.6

52.6%Effective FG%53.5%

19.6%Turnover Rate15.8%

30.3%Offensive Rebound %24.0%

34.4%Free Throw Rate33.6%

-3.2Average Margin-5.1

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Southern Utah HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY52.4%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMSouthern Utah holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (40.6–36.9), defensive efficiency (110.0–114.8), net efficiency (-4.4–-7.7), recent form (-3.3–-16.5).

Northern Arizona COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (107.1–105.6), strength of schedule (-1.8–-3.0), shooting efficiency (53.5–52.6).

Final

Southern Utah

74—76

Northern Arizona

Northern Arizona by 2 • 72.5 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Southern UtahTEAM STATNorthern Arizona

29-69FG32-60

42.0%FG%53.0%

7-263PT8-19

27.0%3PT%42.0%

9-12FT4-11

75.0%FT%36.0%

39Rebounds33

13Offensive Rebounds5

16Assists21

11Turnovers12

8Steals4

4Blocks6

11Fouls13

Player Box Score

Southern Utah

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Dominique Ford	G	36	6-15	4-10	3-3	4	5	0	0	19
Parsa Fallah	F	36	7-15	0-1	1-2	12	3	1	2	15
Jamari Sibley	Forward	23	7-12	0-2	1-2	7	2	3	0	15
Zion Young	Guard	35	4-13	1-9	3-3	2	0	1	1	12
Braden Housley	G	34	4-7	2-4	1-2	3	3	1	1	11
Prophet Johnson	G	25	1-4	0-0	0-0	4	3	1	0	2
Chazz Hutchison	Forward	8	0-3	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	0
Robert Jeter	Point Guard	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	1	0	0
Nestor Dyachok	F	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Northern Arizona

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Trent McLaughlin	Guard	31	7-16	3-8	2-6	3	4	0	0	19
Liam Lloyd	Guard	37	7-9	2-2	0-1	3	5	1	0	16
Carson Basham	Forward	26	8-11	0-1	0-0	7	0	0	3	16
Jayden Jackson	G	35	4-6	0-0	0-0	7	4	2	1	8
Oakland Fort	G	35	3-11	1-4	0-2	3	5	0	1	7
Diego Campisano	F	24	2-5	1-2	2-2	5	1	1	1	7
C.J. Ford	Guard	10	1-1	1-1	0-0	2	2	0	0	3
Ryan Abelman	G	2	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

72.5Possessions72.5

102.1Offensive Efficiency104.8

104.8Defensive Efficiency102.1

-2.8Net Efficiency2.8

47.1%Effective FG%60.0%

49.5%True Shooting %58.3%

15.1%Turnover Rate16.6%

17.4%Free Throw Rate18.3%

37.7%3-Point Rate31.7%

1.45Assist / Turnover1.75

Game Summary

Northern Arizona won by 2 points. The game played at approximately 72.5 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Effective FG%, True Shooting %, Net Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.