UC Davis

19-14

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

34.5%UC Davis

65.5%Pacific

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADPacific -5.4

PROJECTED TOTAL148.5

MODEL MONEYLINEPacific -190

Pacific

18-15

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreUC Davis 72

Projected Total148.5

Projected ScorePacific 77

Team Comparison

UC DavisMetricPacific

48.4MMH Power Index49.6

107.2Offensive Efficiency109.9

103.7Defensive Efficiency104.0

3.5Net Efficiency5.9

-1.9Strength of Schedule-1.5

-0.1Last 10 Net Efficiency-5.3

72.4Tempo66.2

52.3%Effective FG%53.5%

17.7%Turnover Rate19.7%

26.7%Offensive Rebound %35.3%

41.5%Free Throw Rate30.9%

2.5Average Margin3.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Pacific HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY65.5%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMPacific holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (49.6–48.4), offensive efficiency (109.9–107.2), net efficiency (5.9–3.5), strength of schedule (-1.5–-1.9).

UC Davis COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (103.7–104.0), recent form (-0.1–-5.3), ball security (17.7–19.7).

Final

UC Davis

82—61

Pacific

UC Davis by 21 • 68.4 estimated possessions

Team Stats

UC DavisTEAM STATPacific

33-59FG22-47

56.0%FG%47.0%

8-223PT5-17

36.0%3PT%29.0%

8-13FT12-18

62.0%FT%67.0%

32Rebounds16

11Offensive Rebounds3

12Assists17

14Turnovers16

8Steals9

1Blocks1

17Fouls16

Player Box Score

UC Davis

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
TY Johnson	Guard	34	12-19	5-8	1-2	3	3	4	0	30
Elijah Pepper	Guard	33	8-16	2-9	1-1	3	4	0	0	19
Kane Milling	Guard	31	5-8	1-2	1-2	8	2	0	0	12
Leo DeBruhl	Guard	26	3-6	0-2	3-4	2	0	0	0	9
Sione Lose	Guard	22	2-2	0-0	0-0	7	1	1	1	4
Niko Rocak	F	13	2-3	0-0	0-0	3	0	1	0	4
Pablo Tamba	F	22	0-3	0-0	2-4	6	2	2	0	2
Connor Sevilla	G	12	1-2	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	2
Sam Manu	Forward	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Francesco Borra	Forward	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Pacific

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Maurice Odum	G	29	6-9	1-3	2-4	1	8	4	0	15
Judson Martindale	Forward	27	4-5	1-2	1-1	0	0	0	0	10
Nick Blake	Guard	21	1-6	1-3	6-8	1	3	2	1	9
Lesown Hallums Jr.	Guard	24	3-4	0-0	1-1	2	0	0	0	7
Tyler Beard	Guard	26	2-8	2-5	0-0	4	2	0	0	6
Burke Smith	Forward	13	3-5	0-1	0-0	3	0	0	0	6
Donovan Williams	Guard	28	1-6	0-2	2-2	1	2	0	0	4
Cam Denson	F	16	1-3	0-1	0-2	3	0	0	0	2
Tan Yildizoglu	G	14	1-1	0-0	0-0	0	2	3	0	2
Greg Outlaw	Guard	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

68.4Possessions68.4

119.9Offensive Efficiency89.2

89.2Defensive Efficiency119.9

30.7Net Efficiency-30.7

62.7%Effective FG%52.1%

62.9%True Shooting %54.9%

20.5%Turnover Rate23.3%

22.0%Free Throw Rate38.3%

37.3%3-Point Rate36.2%

0.86Assist / Turnover1.06

Game Summary

UC Davis won by 21 points. The game played at approximately 68.4 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.