Saint Mary's

27-6

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

81.5%Saint Mary's

18.5%UNLV

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADSaint Mary's -9.3

PROJECTED TOTAL151.6

MODEL MONEYLINESaint Mary's -441

UNLV

18-16

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreSaint Mary's 80

Projected Total151.6

Projected ScoreUNLV 71

Team Comparison

Saint Mary'sMetricUNLV

70.7MMH Power Index52.8

116.7Offensive Efficiency111.0

97.4Defensive Efficiency109.6

19.3Net Efficiency1.4

3.0Strength of Schedule2.7

18.6Last 10 Net Efficiency1.1

66.3Tempo71.4

53.1%Effective FG%53.7%

16.6%Turnover Rate17.2%

37.4%Offensive Rebound %30.8%

36.8%Free Throw Rate41.6%

12.8Average Margin1.0

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Saint Mary's HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY81.5%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMSaint Mary's holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (70.7–52.8), offensive efficiency (116.7–111.0), defensive efficiency (97.4–109.6), net efficiency (19.3–1.4).

UNLV COUNTERS WITHshooting efficiency (53.7–53.1), free throw rate (41.6–36.8).

Final

Saint Mary's

69—67

UNLV

Saint Mary's by 2 • 76.7 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Saint Mary'sTEAM STATUNLV

25-79FG18-54

32.0%FG%33.0%

1-193PT3-14

5.0%3PT%21.0%

18-31FT28-37

58.0%FT%76.0%

68Rebounds33

33Offensive Rebounds4

11Assists6

15Turnovers10

6Steals8

2Blocks2

29Fouls28

Player Box Score

Saint Mary's

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Mitchell Saxen	Center	43	8-13	0-0	7-10	16	1	0	1	23
Alex Ducas	Guard	34	4-12	0-5	3-4	4	1	1	0	11
Aidan Mahaney	G	37	3-20	1-9	2-2	6	1	0	0	9
Augustas Marciulionis	Guard	33	4-13	0-2	0-1	5	3	2	0	8
Joshua Jefferson	F	28	3-10	0-1	2-2	11	1	1	1	8
Luke Barrett	Forward	30	1-3	0-1	2-3	8	1	2	0	4
Rory Hawke	G	6	1-2	0-0	1-2	1	0	0	0	3
Mason Forbes	Forward	8	1-2	0-1	0-1	2	0	0	0	2
Harry Wessels	C	7	0-1	0-0	1-2	4	0	0	0	1
Jordan Ross	G	12	0-3	0-0	0-4	0	3	0	0	0
Chris Howell	G	12	0-0	0-0	0-0	4	0	0	0	0

UNLV

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Dedan Thomas Jr.	G	45	6-16	0-0	12-16	3	2	1	0	24
Luis Rodriguez	Guard	44	4-8	3-5	5-6	7	2	3	0	16
Justin Webster	Guard	43	5-12	0-3	6-6	0	1	1	0	16
Keylan Boone	Forward	35	1-9	0-5	4-5	6	0	2	1	6
Isaiah Cottrell	F	34	1-2	0-1	1-2	7	0	0	1	3
Karl Jones	Forward	5	1-1	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	2
Jackie Johnson III	Guard	21	0-3	0-0	0-2	2	1	0	0	0
Kalib Boone	Forward	18	0-3	0-0	0-0	3	0	0	0	0
Brooklyn Hicks	G	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	1	0	0
Shane Nowell	Guard	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Rob Whaley Jr.	F	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

76.7Possessions76.7

90.0Offensive Efficiency87.4

87.4Defensive Efficiency90.0

2.6Net Efficiency-2.6

32.3%Effective FG%36.1%

36.8%True Shooting %46.8%

19.8%Turnover Rate12.9%

39.2%Free Throw Rate68.5%

24.1%3-Point Rate25.9%

0.73Assist / Turnover0.60

Game Summary

Saint Mary's won by 2 points. The game played at approximately 76.7 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, True Shooting %, Turnover Rate.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.