Dayton

25-12

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

33.5%Dayton

66.5%Cincinnati

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADCincinnati -5.4

PROJECTED TOTAL142.1

MODEL MONEYLINECincinnati -199

Cincinnati

18-15

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreDayton 68

Projected Total142.1

Projected ScoreCincinnati 74

Team Comparison

DaytonMetricCincinnati

59.9MMH Power Index61.5

108.5Offensive Efficiency105.3

101.5Defensive Efficiency97.3

7.0Net Efficiency8.0

5.7Strength of Schedule5.1

6.4Last 10 Net Efficiency14.4

68.3Tempo69.4

52.0%Effective FG%50.6%

16.9%Turnover Rate17.0%

26.7%Offensive Rebound %30.6%

47.6%Free Throw Rate30.7%

4.8Average Margin5.5

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Cincinnati HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY66.5%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–5

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMCincinnati holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (61.5–59.9), defensive efficiency (97.3–101.5), net efficiency (8.0–7.0), recent form (14.4–6.4).

Dayton COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (108.5–105.3), strength of schedule (5.7–5.1), shooting efficiency (52.0–50.6).

Final

Dayton

82—68

Cincinnati

Dayton by 14 • 65.4 estimated possessions

Team Stats

DaytonTEAM STATCincinnati

23-49FG27-73

47.0%FG%37.0%

8-213PT6-25

38.0%3PT%24.0%

28-30FT8-16

93.0%FT%50.0%

34Rebounds41

6Offensive Rebounds20

9Assists11

6Turnovers7

3Steals3

7Blocks3

13Fouls19

Player Box Score

Dayton

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
DaRon Holmes II	Center	34	10-17	3-5	5-7	7	0	0	5	28
Kobe Elvis	Guard	31	6-11	1-4	14-14	5	3	0	0	27
Koby Brea	Guard	34	4-5	4-5	0-0	5	2	0	1	12
Nate Santos	Forward	37	2-8	0-3	5-5	8	0	0	0	9
Enoch Cheeks	Guard	21	1-2	0-1	2-2	5	2	1	0	4
Javon Bennett	G	24	0-4	0-3	2-2	1	2	2	0	2
Petras Padegimas	F	14	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	1	0
Isaac Jack	F	5	0-2	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Cincinnati

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Simas Lukosius	Guard	22	5-10	3-8	1-2	1	2	0	1	14
Day Day Thomas	G	25	5-13	1-5	1-2	1	1	0	1	12
Aziz Bandaogo	Forward	28	4-5	0-0	2-6	12	1	0	1	10
Jizzle James	G	21	3-8	1-1	0-0	2	1	1	0	7
Dan Skillings Jr.	G	23	3-8	0-0	0-1	5	2	0	0	6
CJ Fredrick Jr.	Guard	22	2-6	1-4	0-0	0	1	0	0	5
John Newman III	Forward	22	1-7	0-2	2-2	5	2	2	0	4
Viktor Lakhin	Center	22	2-9	0-5	0-1	7	1	0	0	4
Jamille Reynolds	Forward	8	1-5	0-0	2-2	2	0	0	0	4
Ody Oguama	Forward	7	1-2	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	2

Advanced Game Stats

65.4Possessions65.4

125.4Offensive Efficiency104.0

104.0Defensive Efficiency125.4

21.4Net Efficiency-21.4

55.1%Effective FG%41.1%

64.8%True Shooting %42.2%

9.5%Turnover Rate10.4%

61.2%Free Throw Rate21.9%

42.9%3-Point Rate34.2%

1.50Assist / Turnover1.57

Game Summary

Dayton won by 14 points. The game played at approximately 65.4 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, True Shooting %.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.