California

22-12

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

47.0%California

53.0%Ole Miss

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADOle Miss -0.7

PROJECTED TOTAL154.1

MODEL MONEYLINEOle Miss -113

Ole Miss

15-20

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreCalifornia 77

Projected Total154.1

Projected ScoreOle Miss 77

Team Comparison

CaliforniaMetricOle Miss

56.5MMH Power Index53

111.8Offensive Efficiency109.2

104.8Defensive Efficiency109.5

7.0Net Efficiency-0.3

2.8Strength of Schedule5.4

1.8Last 10 Net Efficiency-2.3

69.9Tempo69.5

52.6%Effective FG%50.6%

14.9%Turnover Rate14.0%

26.6%Offensive Rebound %28.0%

36.8%Free Throw Rate33.8%

4.9Average Margin-0.2

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

California HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY53.0%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMCalifornia holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (56.5–53.0), offensive efficiency (111.8–109.2), defensive efficiency (104.8–109.5), net efficiency (7.0–-0.3).

Ole Miss COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (5.4–2.8), ball security (14.0–14.9), offensive rebounding (28.0–26.6).

Final

California

78—88

Ole Miss

Ole Miss by 10 • 70.2 estimated possessions

Team Stats

CaliforniaTEAM STATOle Miss

30-72FG31-59

42.0%FG%53.0%

10-303PT12-21

33.0%3PT%57.0%

8-10FT14-16

80.0%FT%88.0%

39Rebounds32

16Offensive Rebounds6

15Assists21

11Turnovers8

3Steals9

1Blocks6

16Fouls13

Player Box Score

California

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jaylon Tyson	Forward	32	9-17	1-5	3-3	4	3	0	1	22
Grant Newell	F	26	6-12	1-3	0-0	7	0	1	0	13
Jalen Cone	Guard	37	4-12	3-9	0-0	3	2	0	0	11
Keonte Kennedy	Guard	35	3-7	2-6	3-4	7	6	1	0	11
Fardaws Aimaq	Forward	34	5-16	0-2	1-1	12	1	1	0	11
Rodney Brown Jr.	G	12	2-3	2-3	0-0	0	2	0	0	6
Jalen Celestine	G	14	1-4	1-2	0-0	0	0	0	0	3
Gus Larson	F	4	0-1	0-0	1-2	2	0	0	0	1
Devin Curtis	F	6	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	1	0	0	0

Ole Miss

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jaemyn Brakefield	Forward	27	8-11	5-7	6-7	2	1	3	0	27
Matthew Murrell	Guard	38	6-9	4-6	3-4	7	2	2	0	19
Jaylen Murray	Guard	31	7-14	0-1	0-0	4	4	1	0	14
Allen Flanigan	Guard	32	4-10	0-1	4-4	8	6	1	0	12
T.J. Caldwell	G	18	4-7	2-4	1-1	0	3	0	0	11
Brandon Murray	Not Available	17	1-2	1-1	0-0	1	4	0	1	3
Jamarion Sharp	Forward	13	1-3	0-0	0-0	2	1	0	4	2
Moussa Cisse	Center	21	0-2	0-0	0-0	6	0	1	1	0
Austin Nunez	G	3	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	1	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

70.2Possessions70.2

111.1Offensive Efficiency125.4

125.4Defensive Efficiency111.1

-14.2Net Efficiency14.2

48.6%Effective FG%62.7%

50.8%True Shooting %66.1%

15.3%Turnover Rate11.7%

13.9%Free Throw Rate27.1%

41.7%3-Point Rate35.6%

1.36Assist / Turnover2.63

Game Summary

Ole Miss won by 10 points. The game played at approximately 70.2 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, True Shooting %, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.