SMU

20-14

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

47.9%SMU

52.1%Florida State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADFlorida State -0.7

PROJECTED TOTAL164.6

MODEL MONEYLINEFlorida State -109

Florida State

18-15

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreSMU 82

Projected Total164.6

Projected ScoreFlorida State 83

Team Comparison

SMUMetricFlorida State

62.5MMH Power Index58.7

118.2Offensive Efficiency111.9

109.6Defensive Efficiency108.5

8.6Net Efficiency3.4

7.0Strength of Schedule5.7

-1.3Last 10 Net Efficiency7.6

71.1Tempo71.8

55.7%Effective FG%52.4%

15.7%Turnover Rate15.2%

35.0%Offensive Rebound %30.3%

31.3%Free Throw Rate35.2%

6.1Average Margin2.4

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

SMU HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY52.1%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMSMU holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (62.5–58.7), offensive efficiency (118.2–111.9), net efficiency (8.6–3.4), strength of schedule (7.0–5.7).

Florida State COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (108.5–109.6), recent form (7.6–-1.3), ball security (15.2–15.7).

Final

SMU

68—57

Florida State

SMU by 11 • 65.5 estimated possessions

Team Stats

SMUTEAM STATFlorida State

26-56FG19-61

46.0%FG%31.0%

7-223PT4-22

32.0%3PT%18.0%

9-21FT15-19

43.0%FT%79.0%

43Rebounds33

15Offensive Rebounds13

13Assists4

15Turnovers8

4Steals8

3Blocks3

19Fouls17

Player Box Score

SMU

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Chuck Harris	Guard	32	9-15	5-10	1-2	6	4	0	0	24
Zhuric Phelps	Guard	31	3-12	0-3	4-6	5	3	1	0	10
Tyreek Smith	Not Available	25	4-5	0-0	2-5	10	2	0	2	10
Samuell Williamson	Forward	26	3-6	0-0	1-6	8	2	1	0	7
Jalen Smith	G	18	2-4	2-4	1-2	1	0	0	0	7
Keon Ambrose-Hylton	Forward	15	3-4	0-0	0-0	4	0	0	0	6
B.J. Edwards	G	23	2-5	0-1	0-0	6	1	1	0	4
Ja'Heim Hudson	Forward	14	0-2	0-1	0-0	1	1	1	1	0
Emory Lanier	Guard	9	0-2	0-2	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Ricardo Wright	Guard	7	0-1	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Florida State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Darin Green Jr.	Guard	28	4-11	2-7	0-0	3	0	0	0	10
Primo Spears	Guard	25	2-14	1-3	5-5	1	0	2	0	10
Jamir Watkins	Guard	20	2-7	0-1	5-6	4	2	1	0	9
Chandler Jackson	G	20	3-8	0-4	1-2	2	2	3	0	7
Baba Miller	F	19	3-5	0-2	0-0	3	0	0	1	6
Josh Nickelberry	Guard	18	2-5	1-3	0-0	4	0	0	1	5
De'Ante Green	F	17	2-4	0-0	1-2	2	0	0	0	5
Jaylan Gainey	Forward	18	1-2	0-0	0-0	6	0	1	1	2
Jalen Warley	G	15	0-2	0-0	2-2	1	0	0	0	2
Taylor Bol Bowen	F	15	0-2	0-1	1-2	4	0	1	0	1
Waka Mbatch	F	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Sola Adebisi	F	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Tom House	G	1	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

65.5Possessions65.5

103.8Offensive Efficiency87.0

87.0Defensive Efficiency103.8

16.8Net Efficiency-16.8

52.7%Effective FG%34.4%

51.5%True Shooting %40.7%

22.7%Turnover Rate12.3%

37.5%Free Throw Rate31.1%

39.3%3-Point Rate36.1%

0.87Assist / Turnover0.50

Game Summary

SMU won by 11 points. The game played at approximately 65.5 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Effective FG%, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.