Arizona State

17-16

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

18.6%Arizona State

81.4%TCU

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADTCU -11.0

PROJECTED TOTAL154.5

MODEL MONEYLINETCU -438

TCU

23-12

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreArizona State 72

Projected Total154.5

Projected ScoreTCU 83

Team Comparison

Arizona StateMetricTCU

51MMH Power Index59.7

108.1Offensive Efficiency110.2

110.9Defensive Efficiency102.7

-2.8Net Efficiency7.5

7.0Strength of Schedule4.6

-7.5Last 10 Net Efficiency2.2

70.6Tempo70.2

51.3%Effective FG%50.5%

17.1%Turnover Rate15.3%

29.6%Offensive Rebound %33.6%

40.2%Free Throw Rate38.3%

-1.9Average Margin5.3

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

TCU HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY81.4%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMTCU holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (59.7–51.0), offensive efficiency (110.2–108.1), defensive efficiency (102.7–110.9), net efficiency (7.5–-2.8).

Arizona State COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (7.0–4.6), shooting efficiency (51.3–50.5), free throw rate (40.2–38.3).

Final

Arizona State

59—79

TCU

TCU by 20 • 74.6 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Arizona StateTEAM STATTCU

20-52FG31-68

38.0%FG%46.0%

5-203PT6-18

25.0%3PT%33.0%

14-21FT11-15

67.0%FT%73.0%

33Rebounds41

7Offensive Rebounds13

11Assists24

19Turnovers13

7Steals13

6Blocks4

14Fouls19

Player Box Score

Arizona State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Adam Miller	G	30	5-9	3-7	7-7	2	3	2	0	20
Jose Perez	Guard	32	3-8	1-2	4-6	4	3	0	1	11
Bryant Selebangue	F	18	4-6	0-0	0-3	3	0	1	0	8
Kamari Lands	G	25	2-9	0-2	2-3	6	1	1	2	6
Frankie Collins	G	23	2-7	0-1	1-2	3	2	0	0	5
Jamiya Neal	Guard	25	2-6	0-3	0-0	6	0	2	1	4
Brycen Long	G	12	1-2	1-2	0-0	1	0	0	1	3
Akil Watson	F	9	1-2	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	2
Alonzo Gaffney	Forward	18	0-1	0-1	0-0	3	2	0	1	0
Braelon Green	G	7	0-2	0-1	0-0	0	0	1	0	0
Malachi Davis	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

TCU

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Emanuel Miller	Forward	28	6-14	0-2	6-6	6	2	3	0	18
Micah Peavy	Not Available	29	6-10	1-3	0-1	12	10	2	0	13
Jameer Nelson Jr.	Guard	19	4-7	3-4	0-0	2	1	2	0	11
Trevian Tennyson	Guard	22	3-4	2-3	0-0	2	2	1	1	8
Ernest Udeh Jr.	C	18	4-6	0-0	0-0	5	0	2	0	8
Avery Anderson III	Guard	21	2-9	0-3	2-2	2	7	1	0	6
Essam Mostafa	Forward	12	3-4	0-0	0-1	1	0	1	1	6
Chuck O'Bannon Jr.	Forward	21	2-6	0-0	1-3	7	0	1	2	5
JaKobe Coles	Forward	22	1-7	0-3	0-0	3	2	0	0	2
Xavier Cork	Forward	8	0-1	0-0	2-2	0	0	0	0	2

Advanced Game Stats

74.6Possessions74.6

79.1Offensive Efficiency105.9

105.9Defensive Efficiency79.1

-26.8Net Efficiency26.8

43.3%Effective FG%50.0%

47.6%True Shooting %52.6%

25.7%Turnover Rate17.3%

40.4%Free Throw Rate22.1%

38.5%3-Point Rate26.5%

0.58Assist / Turnover1.85

Game Summary

TCU won by 20 points. The game played at approximately 74.6 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.