USC

18-14

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

9.1%USC

90.9%Auburn

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADAuburn -13.8

PROJECTED TOTAL163.5

MODEL MONEYLINEAuburn -999

Auburn

21-16

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreUSC 75

Projected Total163.5

Projected ScoreAuburn 89

Team Comparison

USCMetricAuburn

48.3MMH Power Index64.4

108.5Offensive Efficiency118.8

107.6Defensive Efficiency113.0

0.9Net Efficiency5.8

2.5Strength of Schedule7.5

-16.0Last 10 Net Efficiency8.0

72.4Tempo69.8

50.7%Effective FG%53.1%

17.2%Turnover Rate14.5%

33.2%Offensive Rebound %36.5%

45.3%Free Throw Rate43.8%

0.7Average Margin4.1

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Auburn HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY90.9%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMAuburn holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (64.4–48.3), offensive efficiency (118.8–108.5), net efficiency (5.8–0.9), strength of schedule (7.5–2.5).

USC COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (107.6–113.0), free throw rate (45.3–43.8).

Final

USC

75—91

Auburn

Auburn by 16 • 74.3 estimated possessions

Team Stats

USCTEAM STATAuburn

24-60FG29-61

40.0%FG%48.0%

6-193PT8-21

32.0%3PT%38.0%

21-26FT25-32

81.0%FT%78.0%

38Rebounds35

13Offensive Rebounds10

9Assists18

15Turnovers8

4Steals9

3Blocks7

22Fouls22

Player Box Score

USC

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Boogie Ellis	Guard	37	7-15	3-7	5-7	5	3	1	0	22
Oziyah Sellers	G	19	5-7	1-2	2-2	0	0	0	0	13
Isaiah Collier	Guard	18	4-8	1-2	4-5	0	3	0	0	13
Kobe Johnson	Guard	28	2-13	0-3	2-2	7	2	0	0	6
Kijani Wright	F	17	3-4	0-0	0-0	6	0	0	0	6
Bronny James	Guard	14	1-4	0-2	3-4	2	0	0	0	5
Arrinten Page	F	11	1-2	1-2	0-0	0	0	0	0	3
DJ Rodman	Forward	16	0-1	0-0	2-2	3	1	1	0	2
Vince Iwuchukwu	C	16	1-2	0-0	0-0	4	0	0	0	2
Harrison Hornery	Forward	10	0-2	0-1	2-2	3	0	1	0	2
Joshua Morgan	Forward	14	0-2	0-0	1-2	4	0	1	3	1

Auburn

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Aden Holloway	G	24	5-10	4-7	1-2	2	6	0	0	15
Jaylin Williams	Forward	26	6-9	2-4	0-1	3	2	0	0	14
Denver Jones	Guard	23	2-4	2-2	6-6	3	1	1	0	12
Johni Broome	Forward	23	4-14	0-2	3-3	3	0	0	4	11
Dylan Cardwell	Center	17	4-5	0-1	3-4	5	2	3	2	11
Chad Baker-Mazara	G	22	1-3	0-1	5-6	4	0	1	0	7
Tre Donaldson	G	16	3-4	0-0	1-1	2	5	2	0	7
K.D. Johnson	Guard	17	2-6	0-2	1-2	1	0	1	0	5
Chaney Johnson	Forward	14	1-3	0-1	1-1	3	0	1	0	3
Chris Moore	Forward	11	0-2	0-1	3-4	2	1	0	1	3
Lior Berman	Guard	7	1-1	0-0	1-2	1	1	0	0	3

Advanced Game Stats

74.3Possessions74.3

100.9Offensive Efficiency122.5

122.5Defensive Efficiency100.9

-21.5Net Efficiency21.5

45.0%Effective FG%54.1%

51.8%True Shooting %59.7%

20.2%Turnover Rate10.8%

43.3%Free Throw Rate52.5%

31.7%3-Point Rate34.4%

0.60Assist / Turnover2.25

Game Summary

Auburn won by 16 points. The game played at approximately 74.3 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.