Wagner

14-17

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

21.2%Wagner

78.8%Fairfield

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADFairfield -9.1

PROJECTED TOTAL145.0

MODEL MONEYLINEFairfield -372

Fairfield

21-13

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreWagner 68

Projected Total145.0

Projected ScoreFairfield 77

Team Comparison

WagnerMetricFairfield

42.9MMH Power Index50.1

105.5Offensive Efficiency109.6

106.1Defensive Efficiency105.4

-0.6Net Efficiency4.2

-5.0Strength of Schedule-3.4

0.3Last 10 Net Efficiency3.3

67.6Tempo67.8

50.2%Effective FG%49.1%

18.9%Turnover Rate15.0%

34.0%Offensive Rebound %36.0%

31.6%Free Throw Rate28.4%

-0.4Average Margin2.8

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Fairfield HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY78.8%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMFairfield holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (50.1–42.9), offensive efficiency (109.6–105.5), defensive efficiency (105.4–106.1), net efficiency (4.2–-0.6).

Wagner COUNTERS WITHshooting efficiency (50.2–49.1), free throw rate (31.6–28.4).

Final

Wagner

51—63

Fairfield

Fairfield by 12 • 62.8 estimated possessions

Team Stats

WagnerTEAM STATFairfield

16-54FG21-52

30.0%FG%40.0%

5-193PT7-24

26.0%3PT%29.0%

14-19FT14-18

74.0%FT%78.0%

35Rebounds37

14Offensive Rebounds11

6Assists13

14Turnovers13

7Steals7

2Blocks2

17Fouls12

Player Box Score

Wagner

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Melvin Council Jr.	G	37	4-17	1-5	4-4	3	4	2	1	13
Tahron Allen	Not Available	33	3-9	0-1	6-8	7	0	0	0	12
Tyje Kelton	F	25	3-8	3-6	1-2	5	2	2	0	10
Julian Brown	Guard	26	3-7	1-4	2-2	2	0	1	0	9
Di'Andre Howell-South	G	24	1-3	0-1	1-1	3	0	1	0	3
Seck Zongo	Forward	19	1-3	0-0	0-2	4	0	1	1	2
Keyontae Lewis	F	18	1-5	0-0	0-0	7	0	0	0	2
Javier Ezquerra	G	18	0-2	0-2	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Fairfield

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jalen Leach	Not Available	38	7-11	2-5	4-4	6	2	3	0	20
Brycen Goodine	Guard	22	5-8	3-5	2-2	3	0	0	0	15
Louis Bleechmore	Guard	31	3-9	1-4	4-6	9	2	1	1	11
Caleb Fields	Guard	35	3-11	1-7	2-2	6	2	3	0	9
Jasper Floyd	G	36	1-8	0-3	2-4	4	6	0	0	4
Peyton Smith	F	12	1-3	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	2
James Johns Jr.	Guard	7	1-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	2
Birima Seck	Forward	13	0-1	0-0	0-0	5	0	0	1	0
Anthony Davis Jr.	Guard	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	1	0	0	0
Jack Brown	Forward	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

62.8Possessions62.8

81.2Offensive Efficiency100.3

100.3Defensive Efficiency81.2

-19.1Net Efficiency19.1

34.3%Effective FG%47.1%

40.5%True Shooting %52.0%

22.2%Turnover Rate20.8%

35.2%Free Throw Rate34.6%

35.2%3-Point Rate46.2%

0.43Assist / Turnover1.00

Game Summary

Fairfield won by 12 points. The game played at approximately 62.8 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.