North Texas

19-14

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

58.4%North Texas

41.6%Mississippi State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADNorth Texas -2.2

PROJECTED TOTAL150.5

MODEL MONEYLINENorth Texas -140

Mississippi State

13-19

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreNorth Texas 76

Projected Total150.5

Projected ScoreMississippi State 74

Team Comparison

North TexasMetricMississippi State

52.2MMH Power Index44.6

104.1Offensive Efficiency107.4

99.1Defensive Efficiency113.2

5.0Net Efficiency-5.8

-1.3Strength of Schedule5.0

4.8Last 10 Net Efficiency-17.5

68.1Tempo72.3

47.6%Effective FG%51.6%

16.7%Turnover Rate16.1%

33.6%Offensive Rebound %29.8%

41.1%Free Throw Rate30.9%

3.5Average Margin-4.2

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

North Texas HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY58.4%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMNorth Texas holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (52.2–44.6), defensive efficiency (99.1–113.2), net efficiency (5.0–-5.8), recent form (4.8–-17.5).

Mississippi State COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (107.4–104.1), strength of schedule (5.0–-1.3), shooting efficiency (51.6–47.6).

Final

North Texas

54—72

Mississippi State

Mississippi State by 18 • 59.0 estimated possessions

Team Stats

North TexasTEAM STATMississippi State

18-47FG25-60

38.0%FG%42.0%

5-243PT5-21

21.0%3PT%24.0%

13-15FT17-25

87.0%FT%68.0%

32Rebounds37

10Offensive Rebounds17

4Assists15

16Turnovers3

1Steals8

1Blocks5

21Fouls15

Player Box Score

North Texas

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Rubin Jones	Guard	26	6-11	2-6	6-8	4	0	0	0	20
Jason Edwards	G	27	3-10	1-4	4-4	2	3	0	0	11
Aaron Scott	Guard	25	4-10	1-3	1-1	3	0	1	1	10
CJ Noland	Guard	25	3-5	0-2	0-0	1	0	0	0	6
John Buggs III	Guard	33	1-7	1-7	0-0	5	1	0	0	3
Moulaye Sissoko	Forward	23	0-1	0-0	2-2	7	0	0	0	2
Robert Allen	Forward	17	1-1	0-0	0-0	5	0	0	0	2
Matthew Stone	Guard	16	0-2	0-2	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Christian Moore	Guard	8	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Mississippi State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
KeShawn Murphy	F	23	8-14	0-2	2-3	3	2	0	1	18
D.J. Jeffries	Forward	35	4-9	0-3	5-6	7	0	1	0	13
Josh Hubbard	G	28	3-13	3-10	2-2	2	1	0	0	11
Cameron Matthews	Forward	36	3-5	0-1	3-5	12	7	5	3	9
Jimmy Bell Jr.	Forward	19	2-7	0-0	3-5	5	0	0	0	7
Shakeel Moore	Guard	23	2-5	1-2	1-2	2	1	0	0	6
Dashawn Davis	Guard	29	1-5	1-3	1-2	4	4	2	1	4
Shawn Jones Jr.	G	7	2-2	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	4

Advanced Game Stats

59.0Possessions59.0

91.5Offensive Efficiency122.0

122.0Defensive Efficiency91.5

-30.5Net Efficiency30.5

43.6%Effective FG%45.8%

49.9%True Shooting %50.1%

26.6%Turnover Rate5.2%

31.9%Free Throw Rate41.7%

51.1%3-Point Rate35.0%

0.25Assist / Turnover5.00

Game Summary

Mississippi State won by 18 points. The game played at approximately 59.0 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.