Samford

18-14

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

49.0%Samford

51.0%Valparaiso

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADValparaiso -1.5

PROJECTED TOTAL150.4

MODEL MONEYLINEValparaiso -104

Valparaiso

18-15

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreSamford 74

Projected Total150.4

Projected ScoreValparaiso 76

Team Comparison

SamfordMetricValparaiso

54.1MMH Power Index49.9

113.5Offensive Efficiency106.6

108.3Defensive Efficiency105.8

5.2Net Efficiency0.8

-2.9Strength of Schedule0.3

14.0Last 10 Net Efficiency-0.1

69.5Tempo67.5

54.0%Effective FG%48.7%

13.3%Turnover Rate15.6%

25.3%Offensive Rebound %32.4%

42.5%Free Throw Rate40.0%

3.6Average Margin0.5

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Samford HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY51.0%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMSamford holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (54.1–49.9), offensive efficiency (113.5–106.6), net efficiency (5.2–0.8), recent form (14.0–-0.1).

Valparaiso COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (105.8–108.3), strength of schedule (0.3–-2.9), offensive rebounding (32.4–25.3).

Final

Samford

79—61

Valparaiso

Samford by 18 • 66.2 estimated possessions

Team Stats

SamfordTEAM STATValparaiso

32-63FG23-65

51.0%FG%35.0%

10-223PT6-30

45.0%3PT%20.0%

5-11FT9-11

45.0%FT%82.0%

41Rebounds33

13Offensive Rebounds13

18Assists16

10Turnovers10

4Steals7

3Blocks2

9Fouls12

Player Box Score

Samford

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Garrett Hicks	Guard	26	7-10	1-3	0-0	2	1	0	1	15
AJ Staton-McCray	G	17	5-10	1-1	0-0	6	1	1	0	11
Achor Achor	F	25	5-9	0-0	0-2	5	2	1	2	10
Nathan Johnson	Forward	17	3-4	3-3	0-2	1	3	1	0	9
Jaden Campbell	Guard	19	3-4	2-3	0-0	3	1	0	0	8
Dallas Graziani	Guard	18	2-3	2-3	0-0	4	1	0	0	6
Josh Holloway	G	14	2-5	0-1	2-2	1	1	0	0	6
Jermaine Marshall	Forward	21	2-7	1-5	0-0	4	1	0	0	5
Riley Allenspach	F	13	1-5	0-1	2-3	5	0	0	0	4
Lukas Walls	G	5	1-2	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	2
Zach Loveday	Center	1	1-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	2
Rylan Jones	Guard	20	0-3	0-1	1-2	5	7	1	0	1
Chandler Leopard	Guard	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Valparaiso

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Cooper Schwieger	F	24	6-8	1-2	2-2	7	0	0	0	15
Sherman Weatherspoon IV	G	16	4-11	3-7	0-0	2	0	2	0	11
Jaxon Edwards	G	23	4-9	1-3	0-0	3	1	0	0	9
Darius DeAveiro	Guard	37	3-13	0-6	0-0	2	10	3	0	6
Kaspar Sepp	F	28	3-6	0-0	0-0	11	2	0	0	6
Jahari Williamson	G	25	0-6	0-4	6-7	0	1	0	0	6
Connor Barrett	Guard	13	2-5	1-4	0-0	0	0	0	0	5
Isaiah Stafford	G	15	1-7	0-4	0-0	0	2	1	1	2
Ola Ajiboye	F	19	0-0	0-0	1-2	5	0	1	1	1

Advanced Game Stats

66.2Possessions66.2

119.3Offensive Efficiency92.1

92.1Defensive Efficiency119.3

27.2Net Efficiency-27.2

58.7%Effective FG%40.0%

57.9%True Shooting %43.4%

15.3%Turnover Rate14.9%

17.5%Free Throw Rate16.9%

34.9%3-Point Rate46.2%

1.80Assist / Turnover1.60

Game Summary

Samford won by 18 points. The game played at approximately 66.2 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.