Tennessee State

23-10

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

67.2%Tennessee State

32.8%Indiana State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADTennessee State -3.8

PROJECTED TOTAL153.7

MODEL MONEYLINETennessee State -205

Indiana State

11-21

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreTennessee State 79

Projected Total153.7

Projected ScoreIndiana State 75

Team Comparison

Tennessee StateMetricIndiana State

55.4MMH Power Index44.4

110.9Offensive Efficiency104.7

102.7Defensive Efficiency106.0

8.2Net Efficiency-1.3

-3.1Strength of Schedule0.1

13.7Last 10 Net Efficiency-5.2

72.4Tempo70.3

50.9%Effective FG%53.6%

17.0%Turnover Rate19.5%

34.8%Offensive Rebound %27.3%

34.7%Free Throw Rate28.8%

5.9Average Margin-0.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Tennessee State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY67.2%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMTennessee State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (55.4–44.4), offensive efficiency (110.9–104.7), defensive efficiency (102.7–106.0), net efficiency (8.2–-1.3).

Indiana State COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (0.1–-3.1), shooting efficiency (53.6–50.9).

Final

Tennessee State

69—90

Indiana State

Indiana State by 21 • 73.3 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Tennessee StateTEAM STATIndiana State

26-64FG24-47

41.0%FG%51.0%

4-223PT11-23

18.0%3PT%48.0%

13-16FT31-40

81.0%FT%77.0%

32Rebounds36

11Offensive Rebounds7

7Assists16

14Turnovers13

6Steals7

2Blocks6

28Fouls18

Player Box Score

Tennessee State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jaylen Jones	G	31	5-10	2-5	4-4	2	1	1	0	16
Kinyon Hodges	Guard	36	5-10	0-1	2-2	10	1	2	0	12
Christian Brown	Guard	23	3-9	2-5	2-3	2	1	1	1	10
Marcus Fitzgerald Jr.	G	30	3-9	0-1	2-2	4	0	1	0	8
EJ Bellinger	Guard	20	3-7	0-2	1-1	2	0	1	1	7
Michael Shanks	Forward	15	3-8	0-5	0-0	3	3	0	0	6
Knute Wood	Guard	20	2-7	0-2	0-0	0	1	0	0	4
Emmanuel Dowuona	Forward	15	1-2	0-0	2-2	5	0	0	0	4
Justin Williams	Guard	7	1-2	0-1	0-2	0	0	0	0	2
Riggs Abner	G	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Indiana State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Julian Larry	Guard	38	3-5	0-0	13-17	2	6	1	1	19
Robbie Avila	C	31	6-10	3-4	3-4	14	5	0	2	18
Xavier Bledson	Guard	26	4-6	4-5	4-4	10	0	1	1	16
Jayson Kent	Forward	35	5-10	1-2	4-4	2	0	1	1	15
Isaiah Swope	Guard	29	3-8	3-7	5-6	3	2	1	0	14
Ryan Conwell	G	20	3-6	0-3	0-1	1	1	1	0	6
Jake Wolfe	Guard	10	0-0	0-0	1-2	1	2	0	0	1
Aaron Gray	Forward	7	0-1	0-1	1-2	1	0	2	1	1
Masen Miller	Guard	4	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

73.3Possessions73.3

94.1Offensive Efficiency122.8

122.8Defensive Efficiency94.1

-28.6Net Efficiency28.6

43.8%Effective FG%62.8%

48.2%True Shooting %68.2%

18.8%Turnover Rate18.1%

25.0%Free Throw Rate85.1%

34.4%3-Point Rate48.9%

0.50Assist / Turnover1.23

Game Summary

Indiana State won by 21 points. The game played at approximately 73.3 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.