Merrimack

23-11

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

20.1%Merrimack

79.9%Cincinnati

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADCincinnati -9.8

PROJECTED TOTAL136.9

MODEL MONEYLINECincinnati -398

Cincinnati

18-15

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreMerrimack 64

Projected Total136.9

Projected ScoreCincinnati 73

Team Comparison

MerrimackMetricCincinnati

53.7MMH Power Index61.5

106.4Offensive Efficiency105.3

103.2Defensive Efficiency97.3

3.2Net Efficiency8.0

0.7Strength of Schedule5.1

12.9Last 10 Net Efficiency14.4

64.4Tempo69.4

49.3%Effective FG%50.6%

14.8%Turnover Rate17.0%

24.7%Offensive Rebound %30.6%

39.5%Free Throw Rate30.7%

2.1Average Margin5.5

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Cincinnati HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY79.9%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMCincinnati holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (61.5–53.7), defensive efficiency (97.3–103.2), net efficiency (8.0–3.2), strength of schedule (5.1–0.7).

Merrimack COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (106.4–105.3), ball security (14.8–17.0), free throw rate (39.5–30.7).

Final

Merrimack

49—65

Cincinnati

Cincinnati by 16 • 68.0 estimated possessions

Team Stats

MerrimackTEAM STATCincinnati

18-53FG24-55

34.0%FG%44.0%

9-273PT5-12

33.0%3PT%42.0%

4-6FT12-19

67.0%FT%63.0%

25Rebounds45

6Offensive Rebounds15

8Assists16

19Turnovers18

8Steals8

3Blocks5

15Fouls7

Player Box Score

Merrimack

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jordan Derkack	G	32	6-10	3-4	3-4	1	2	1	0	18
Devon Savage	Guard	21	3-6	3-6	0-0	2	0	0	0	9
Jaylen Stinson	G	19	2-4	1-1	0-0	1	0	1	0	5
Bryan Etumnu	F	17	2-6	1-3	0-0	5	0	1	2	5
Adam Clark	G	29	2-12	0-3	0-0	2	4	2	0	4
Jordan McKoy	Guard	25	1-4	1-4	0-0	1	1	1	0	3
Jacob O'Connell	Forward	23	1-7	0-4	1-2	5	1	1	1	3
Samba Diallo	Forward	29	1-4	0-2	0-0	4	0	1	0	2
Armandas Plintauskas	Guard	5	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Cincinnati

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Viktor Lakhin	Center	26	8-14	0-0	2-3	7	3	0	2	18
Simas Lukosius	Guard	34	3-4	3-3	2-2	2	3	0	0	11
Ody Oguama	Forward	22	3-7	0-1	2-5	3	0	0	1	8
Day Day Thomas	G	27	1-4	1-3	4-4	3	4	2	0	7
Jamille Reynolds	Forward	15	3-9	0-0	1-3	11	1	0	0	7
Dan Skillings Jr.	G	14	2-4	0-1	1-2	3	1	1	1	5
Jizzle James	G	23	2-6	0-0	0-0	3	2	2	1	4
Josh Reed	F	7	1-2	1-2	0-0	4	0	0	0	3
John Newman III	Forward	32	1-5	0-2	0-0	6	2	3	0	2

Advanced Game Stats

68.0Possessions68.0

72.1Offensive Efficiency95.6

95.6Defensive Efficiency72.1

-23.5Net Efficiency23.5

42.5%Effective FG%48.2%

43.9%True Shooting %50.8%

27.6%Turnover Rate26.9%

11.3%Free Throw Rate34.5%

50.9%3-Point Rate21.8%

0.42Assist / Turnover0.89

Game Summary

Cincinnati won by 16 points. The game played at approximately 68.0 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.