North Dakota State

27-8

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

49.5%North Dakota State

50.5%Southern Illinois

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADSouthern Illinois -0.2

PROJECTED TOTAL147.7

MODEL MONEYLINESouthern Illinois -102

Southern Illinois

16-16

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreNorth Dakota State 74

Projected Total147.7

Projected ScoreSouthern Illinois 74

Team Comparison

North Dakota StateMetricSouthern Illinois

59MMH Power Index54.6

115.4Offensive Efficiency103.4

100.8Defensive Efficiency98.5

14.6Net Efficiency4.9

-4.6Strength of Schedule1.6

14.3Last 10 Net Efficiency7.7

69.6Tempo70.6

54.5%Effective FG%49.5%

15.5%Turnover Rate17.0%

32.0%Offensive Rebound %31.1%

31.3%Free Throw Rate32.3%

10.1Average Margin3.4

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

North Dakota State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY50.5%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMNorth Dakota State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (59.0–54.6), offensive efficiency (115.4–103.4), net efficiency (14.6–4.9), recent form (14.3–7.7).

Southern Illinois COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (98.5–100.8), strength of schedule (1.6–-4.6), free throw rate (32.3–31.3).

Final

North Dakota State

63—76

Southern Illinois

Southern Illinois by 13 • 66.9 estimated possessions

Team Stats

North Dakota StateTEAM STATSouthern Illinois

27-55FG30-55

49.0%FG%55.0%

1-133PT5-10

8.0%3PT%50.0%

8-10FT11-15

80.0%FT%73.0%

28Rebounds28

7Offensive Rebounds6

10Assists17

14Turnovers11

7Steals7

—Blocks1

11Fouls11

Player Box Score

North Dakota State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	PTS
Boden Skunberg	G	34	7-17	0-4	5-5	2	1	1	19
Noah Feddersen	C	17	5-6	0-0	0-0	4	1	2	10
Damari Wheeler-Thomas	G	36	3-11	1-3	2-2	5	3	2	9
Andrew Morgan	Forward	19	3-6	0-2	1-3	3	2	0	7
Tajavis Miller	G	32	3-5	0-1	0-0	4	1	0	6
Jacari White	G	22	2-5	0-2	0-0	3	0	0	4
Darik Dissette	Guard	7	2-2	0-0	0-0	1	0	2	4
Lance Waddles	G	21	1-2	0-1	0-0	1	2	0	2
Joshua Streit	Forward	4	1-1	0-0	0-0	3	0	0	2
Jeremiah Burke	F	7	0-0	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0
Sam Hastreiter	Forward	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0

Southern Illinois

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Xavier Johnson	Guard	38	10-19	1-3	4-4	4	5	2	0	25
Jarrett Hensley	Forward	16	6-10	0-0	2-2	4	0	0	0	14
Scottie Ebube	C	19	6-10	0-0	1-4	8	1	0	1	13
Trent Brown	Guard	40	3-5	3-5	2-2	0	1	3	0	11
Kennard Davis Jr.	G	26	3-4	0-0	0-0	3	1	0	0	6
Clarence Rupert	Forward	7	1-3	0-0	2-3	1	1	1	0	4
Troy D'Amico	Forward	37	1-1	1-1	0-0	5	3	0	0	3
Trey Miller	G	14	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	5	1	0	0
Jovan Stulic	Guard	3	0-2	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

66.9Possessions66.9

94.2Offensive Efficiency113.6

113.6Defensive Efficiency94.2

-19.4Net Efficiency19.4

50.0%Effective FG%59.1%

52.7%True Shooting %61.2%

21.0%Turnover Rate16.4%

18.2%Free Throw Rate27.3%

23.6%3-Point Rate18.2%

0.71Assist / Turnover1.55

Game Summary

Southern Illinois won by 13 points. The game played at approximately 66.9 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.