Lindenwood

18-15

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

27.1%Lindenwood

72.9%Missouri State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADMissouri State -5.3

PROJECTED TOTAL151.7

MODEL MONEYLINEMissouri State -269

Missouri State

16-18

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreLindenwood 73

Projected Total151.7

Projected ScoreMissouri State 78

Team Comparison

LindenwoodMetricMissouri State

46.8MMH Power Index51.1

105.5Offensive Efficiency110.5

98.6Defensive Efficiency108.4

6.9Net Efficiency2.1

-6.8Strength of Schedule0.5

-1.4Last 10 Net Efficiency-2.1

73.7Tempo67.9

50.2%Effective FG%51.8%

18.3%Turnover Rate16.4%

34.0%Offensive Rebound %33.0%

37.9%Free Throw Rate42.9%

5.1Average Margin1.4

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Missouri State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY72.9%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–5

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMMissouri State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (51.1–46.8), offensive efficiency (110.5–105.5), strength of schedule (0.5–-6.8), shooting efficiency (51.8–50.2).

Lindenwood COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (98.6–108.4), net efficiency (6.9–2.1), recent form (-1.4–-2.1).

Final

Lindenwood

57—79

Missouri State

Missouri State by 22 • 73.5 estimated possessions

Team Stats

LindenwoodTEAM STATMissouri State

19-60FG29-60

32.0%FG%48.0%

2-163PT8-29

13.0%3PT%28.0%

17-22FT13-20

77.0%FT%65.0%

32Rebounds43

8Offensive Rebounds8

2Assists12

11Turnovers12

7Steals4

2Blocks4

18Fouls17

Player Box Score

Lindenwood

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jaylon McDaniel	F	28	5-11	0-0	3-4	4	0	1	1	13
Keenon Cole	Forward	30	2-10	0-2	6-7	7	0	0	0	10
Nathan Johnson Jr.	Guard	20	2-4	0-1	4-4	5	0	1	0	8
Amoro Lado	Guard	12	3-7	0-2	2-2	1	0	2	0	8
Darius Beane	Guard	35	3-8	0-0	0-0	2	1	1	0	6
Keith Haymon II	Forward	23	2-9	2-7	0-0	3	0	0	0	6
Colin Ruffin	G	28	1-3	0-1	1-4	6	1	2	0	3
Jeremiah Talton	F	22	1-7	0-3	1-1	1	0	0	1	3
RJ Horry	Guard	2	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Missouri State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Alston Mason	Guard	35	11-21	5-13	7-8	5	7	2	0	34
NJ Benson	F	19	8-11	0-0	1-2	12	1	0	2	17
Chance Moore	G	29	3-8	2-6	1-4	15	1	1	1	9
Donovan Clay	Guard	29	2-5	0-2	3-4	2	1	0	1	7
Tyler Bey	G	21	3-8	0-3	0-0	2	0	0	0	6
Raphe Ayres	Guard	17	1-3	1-3	0-0	1	0	0	0	3
Dawson Carper	Forward	7	1-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	2
Damien Mayo Jr.	G	23	0-1	0-1	1-2	0	1	1	0	1
Cesare Edwards	Center	9	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Nick Kramer	Guard	6	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Kanon Gipson	Guard	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	1	0	0	0
Tommy Pinegar	G	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

73.5Possessions73.5

77.6Offensive Efficiency107.5

107.5Defensive Efficiency77.6

-29.9Net Efficiency29.9

33.3%Effective FG%55.0%

40.5%True Shooting %56.8%

15.0%Turnover Rate16.3%

36.7%Free Throw Rate33.3%

26.7%3-Point Rate48.3%

0.18Assist / Turnover1.00

Game Summary

Missouri State won by 22 points. The game played at approximately 73.5 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.