Southern Utah

10-22

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

12.4%Southern Utah

87.6%Montana State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADMontana State -14.0

PROJECTED TOTAL155.3

MODEL MONEYLINEMontana State -706

Montana State

18-14

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreSouthern Utah 71

Projected Total155.3

Projected ScoreMontana State 85

Team Comparison

Southern UtahMetricMontana State

40.6MMH Power Index53.6

105.6Offensive Efficiency114.4

110.0Defensive Efficiency104.9

-4.4Net Efficiency9.5

-3.0Strength of Schedule-3.7

-3.3Last 10 Net Efficiency4.9

72.3Tempo68.1

52.6%Effective FG%55.1%

19.6%Turnover Rate14.7%

30.3%Offensive Rebound %28.1%

34.4%Free Throw Rate30.7%

-3.2Average Margin6.5

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Montana State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY87.6%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMMontana State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (53.6–40.6), offensive efficiency (114.4–105.6), defensive efficiency (104.9–110.0), net efficiency (9.5–-4.4).

Southern Utah COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (-3.0–-3.7), offensive rebounding (30.3–28.1), free throw rate (34.4–30.7).

Final

Southern Utah

88—89

Montana State

Montana State by 1 • 78.7 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Southern UtahTEAM STATMontana State

25-72FG30-64

35.0%FG%47.0%

5-273PT9-21

19.0%3PT%43.0%

33-39FT20-25

85.0%FT%80.0%

41Rebounds42

18Offensive Rebounds11

8Assists15

7Turnovers13

9Steals6

2Blocks—

21Fouls25

Player Box Score

Southern Utah

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Dominique Ford	G	38	8-19	1-6	8-8	6	1	2	0	25
Braden Housley	G	45	6-15	2-8	7-11	1	3	4	0	21
Parsa Fallah	F	29	3-6	0-0	8-9	10	1	0	0	14
Zion Young	Guard	35	3-13	2-10	5-6	4	0	1	0	13
Prophet Johnson	G	37	2-10	0-1	4-4	7	3	1	1	8
Jamari Sibley	Forward	27	2-8	0-2	1-1	4	0	0	0	5
Brock Felder	F	12	1-1	0-0	0-0	6	0	1	1	2
Nestor Dyachok	F	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Montana State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	PTS
Brian Goracke	Forward	41	8-16	4-8	3-4	9	1	1	23
Brandon Walker	F	16	5-8	0-0	7-8	4	0	0	17
Robert Ford III	Guard	43	4-12	2-5	6-8	10	3	3	16
Chika Nduka	Forward	26	6-8	0-0	4-5	6	4	0	16
Tyler Patterson	Guard	40	3-6	2-5	0-0	3	0	0	8
Jaden Geron	G	24	3-8	1-2	0-0	3	2	0	7
Eddie Turner III	Guard	20	1-4	0-1	0-0	2	3	1	2
Sam Lecholat	Forward	12	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	1	1	0
John Olmsted	Forward	3	0-2	0-0	0-0	0	1	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

78.7Possessions78.7

111.8Offensive Efficiency113.1

113.1Defensive Efficiency111.8

-1.3Net Efficiency1.3

38.2%Effective FG%53.9%

48.6%True Shooting %58.6%

8.8%Turnover Rate16.7%

54.2%Free Throw Rate39.1%

37.5%3-Point Rate32.8%

1.14Assist / Turnover1.15

Game Summary

Montana State won by 1 points. The game played at approximately 78.7 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Effective FG%, Free Throw Rate, True Shooting %.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.