Western Kentucky

18-14

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

30.8%Western Kentucky

69.2%California Baptist

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADCalifornia Baptist -6.3

PROJECTED TOTAL149.1

MODEL MONEYLINECalifornia Baptist -225

California Baptist

25-9

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreWestern Kentucky 71

Projected Total149.1

Projected ScoreCalifornia Baptist 78

Team Comparison

Western KentuckyMetricCalifornia Baptist

55.6MMH Power Index58.3

110.6Offensive Efficiency106.5

106.2Defensive Efficiency99.0

4.4Net Efficiency7.5

1.7Strength of Schedule1.8

5.2Last 10 Net Efficiency11.0

71.7Tempo68.2

48.6%Effective FG%48.8%

14.5%Turnover Rate17.9%

31.8%Offensive Rebound %37.0%

42.9%Free Throw Rate37.0%

3.2Average Margin5.1

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

California Baptist HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY69.2%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMCalifornia Baptist holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (58.3–55.6), defensive efficiency (99.0–106.2), net efficiency (7.5–4.4), strength of schedule (1.8–1.7).

Western Kentucky COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (110.6–106.5), ball security (14.5–17.9), free throw rate (42.9–37.0).

Final

Western Kentucky

73—70

California Baptist

Western Kentucky by 3 • 77.7 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Western KentuckyTEAM STATCalifornia Baptist

26-63FG26-64

41.0%FG%41.0%

8-183PT4-23

44.0%3PT%17.0%

13-20FT14-23

65.0%FT%61.0%

42Rebounds43

6Offensive Rebounds9

11Assists8

10Turnovers13

5Steals3

3Blocks3

23Fouls19

Player Box Score

Western Kentucky

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Dontaie Allen	Guard	22	6-11	4-8	1-2	4	1	1	1	17
Don McHenry	G	38	4-15	2-3	4-4	3	4	0	0	14
Tyrone Marshall Jr.	F	19	3-4	1-1	2-2	4	1	1	1	9
Babacar Faye	F	18	4-5	0-0	1-4	5	2	0	0	9
Brandon Newman	Guard	29	3-11	1-3	0-0	12	3	0	1	7
Enoch Kalambay	G	25	3-7	0-2	1-2	8	0	1	0	7
Rodney Howard	Forward	18	3-7	0-0	0-0	4	0	0	0	6
Jalen Jackson	Guard	20	0-2	0-0	4-6	0	0	2	0	4
Jack Edelen	G	6	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Fallou Diagne	C	4	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Teagan Moore	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

California Baptist

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Dominique Daniels Jr.	G	37	10-19	3-8	9-11	1	2	1	0	32
Yvan Ouedraogo	Forward	29	5-8	0-0	1-5	7	1	0	1	11
Hunter Goodrick	Forward	30	4-12	0-3	2-4	11	0	1	0	10
Brantly Stevenson	Guard	30	4-9	1-3	0-0	5	2	0	1	9
Blondeau Tchoukuiegno	Guard	27	2-5	0-3	2-2	3	1	1	0	6
Scotty Washington	G	17	1-7	0-3	0-1	5	1	0	1	2
Malik Wade	Forward	10	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	1	0	0	0
Tylen Riley	G	9	0-1	0-1	0-0	3	0	0	0	0
Kendal Coleman	Forward	8	0-2	0-1	0-0	4	0	0	0	0
Jonathan Griman	F	3	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

77.7Possessions77.7

94.0Offensive Efficiency90.1

90.1Defensive Efficiency94.0

3.9Net Efficiency-3.9

47.6%Effective FG%43.8%

50.3%True Shooting %46.7%

13.1%Turnover Rate16.5%

31.7%Free Throw Rate35.9%

28.6%3-Point Rate35.9%

1.10Assist / Turnover0.62

Game Summary

Western Kentucky won by 3 points. The game played at approximately 77.7 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.