Middle Tennessee

17-15

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

7.3%Middle Tennessee

92.7%Saint Mary's

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADSaint Mary's -17.1

PROJECTED TOTAL145.8

MODEL MONEYLINESaint Mary's -1270

Saint Mary's

27-6

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreMiddle Tennessee 64

Projected Total145.8

Projected ScoreSaint Mary's 81

Team Comparison

Middle TennesseeMetricSaint Mary's

52.5MMH Power Index70.7

109.6Offensive Efficiency116.7

105.7Defensive Efficiency97.4

3.9Net Efficiency19.3

0.4Strength of Schedule3.0

3.2Last 10 Net Efficiency18.6

68.8Tempo66.3

52.2%Effective FG%53.1%

16.7%Turnover Rate16.6%

31.3%Offensive Rebound %37.4%

33.2%Free Throw Rate36.8%

2.7Average Margin12.8

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Saint Mary's HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY92.7%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

11–0

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMSaint Mary's holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (70.7–52.5), offensive efficiency (116.7–109.6), defensive efficiency (97.4–105.7), net efficiency (19.3–3.9).

Final

Middle Tennessee

34—71

Saint Mary's

Saint Mary's by 37 • 60.7 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Middle TennesseeTEAM STATSaint Mary's

12-43FG28-67

28.0%FG%42.0%

3-113PT5-20

27.0%3PT%25.0%

7-16FT10-12

44.0%FT%83.0%

24Rebounds47

7Offensive Rebounds22

6Assists13

18Turnovers9

4Steals9

7Blocks3

12Fouls12

Player Box Score

Middle Tennessee

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jacob Johnson	Guard	32	3-8	0-0	3-5	2	1	0	0	9
Jestin Porter	G	24	2-6	1-3	0-0	0	0	2	1	5
Jared Coleman-Jones	Forward	24	2-9	0-0	0-1	3	1	0	0	4
O'zhell Jackson	Guard	23	2-3	0-0	0-6	4	0	2	1	4
Elias King	Guard	30	1-7	1-3	0-0	2	2	0	2	3
Justin Bufford	Guard	20	1-3	0-1	1-1	1	0	0	0	3
Chris Loofe	F	16	1-2	1-1	0-0	2	1	0	2	3
Jalen Jordan	Guard	16	0-2	0-2	3-3	2	0	0	0	3
Ty Mosley	Guard	7	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	1	0	0	0
Tre Green	G	4	0-2	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	1	0
Isiah Lightsy	Guard	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Jack Jubenville	Guard	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Saint Mary's

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Harry Wessels	C	17	10-13	0-0	0-0	4	0	0	2	20
Alex Ducas	Guard	25	5-8	3-6	0-0	5	0	2	0	13
Mitchell Saxen	Center	23	4-10	0-0	5-6	4	1	1	1	13
Augustas Marciulionis	Guard	24	4-8	1-2	1-1	5	3	1	0	10
Joshua Jefferson	F	24	2-7	0-0	2-2	7	2	0	0	6
Aidan Mahaney	G	25	1-8	0-6	1-2	2	1	0	0	3
Luke Barrett	Forward	13	1-5	0-1	1-1	6	0	1	0	3
Chris Howell	G	9	1-2	1-2	0-0	0	2	3	0	3
Mason Forbes	Forward	16	0-0	0-0	0-0	2	2	0	0	0
Jordan Ross	G	14	0-3	0-1	0-0	4	0	1	0	0
Cade Bennett	G	8	0-1	0-1	0-0	1	2	0	0	0
Kevin Gad	F	2	0-2	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

60.7Possessions60.7

56.0Offensive Efficiency117.0

117.0Defensive Efficiency56.0

-61.0Net Efficiency61.0

31.4%Effective FG%45.5%

33.6%True Shooting %48.8%

29.2%Turnover Rate15.1%

37.2%Free Throw Rate17.9%

25.6%3-Point Rate29.9%

0.33Assist / Turnover1.44

Game Summary

Saint Mary's won by 37 points. The game played at approximately 60.7 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.