Cal State Northridge

20-14

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

12.4%Cal State Northridge

87.6%UCLA

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADUCLA -12.5

PROJECTED TOTAL158.2

MODEL MONEYLINEUCLA -706

UCLA

24-12

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreCal State Northridge 73

Projected Total158.2

Projected ScoreUCLA 85

Team Comparison

Cal State NorthridgeMetricUCLA

50MMH Power Index63

107.3Offensive Efficiency115.9

105.2Defensive Efficiency106.9

2.1Net Efficiency9.0

-0.6Strength of Schedule5.1

1.8Last 10 Net Efficiency8.0

75.9Tempo66.5

51.0%Effective FG%53.5%

17.3%Turnover Rate13.4%

32.9%Offensive Rebound %30.7%

34.7%Free Throw Rate33.8%

1.6Average Margin6.0

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

UCLA HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY87.6%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMUCLA holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (63.0–50.0), offensive efficiency (115.9–107.3), net efficiency (9.0–2.1), strength of schedule (5.1–-0.6).

Cal State Northridge COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (105.2–106.9), offensive rebounding (32.9–30.7), free throw rate (34.7–33.8).

Final

Cal State Northridge

76—72

UCLA

Cal State Northridge by 4 • 76.3 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Cal State NorthridgeTEAM STATUCLA

27-58FG20-54

47.0%FG%37.0%

5-173PT9-24

29.0%3PT%38.0%

17-23FT23-35

74.0%FT%66.0%

36Rebounds34

9Offensive Rebounds11

12Assists7

14Turnovers19

14Steals6

1Blocks1

31Fouls21

Player Box Score

Cal State Northridge

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Dionte Bostick	Guard	25	6-13	1-2	5-6	7	0	1	0	18
De'Sean Allen-Eikens	Forward	29	4-5	1-1	8-10	4	0	2	0	17
Mahmoud Fofana	F	30	5-7	1-2	2-4	11	3	2	0	13
Keonte Jones	G	36	5-8	0-2	2-3	5	3	3	1	12
Gianni Hunt	G	33	5-14	2-7	0-0	0	2	4	0	12
Bryan Ndjonga	F	7	1-1	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	2
Dearon Tucker	Center	6	1-2	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	2
Jordan Brinson	G	25	0-5	0-3	0-0	4	4	2	0	0
Jasman Sangha	Forward	9	0-3	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

UCLA

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Sebastian Mack	G	36	6-10	2-4	13-16	4	1	4	0	27
Dylan Andrews	G	36	8-15	4-6	2-2	2	1	0	0	22
Lazar Stefanovic	Guard	36	3-14	3-10	2-2	4	0	0	0	11
Adem Bona	Center	30	2-4	0-0	4-11	10	1	1	0	8
Will McClendon	G	22	1-2	0-1	0-0	4	1	1	1	2
Aday Mara	C	12	0-1	0-0	2-4	1	3	0	0	2
Brandon Williams	F	22	0-6	0-3	0-0	4	0	0	0	0
Kenneth Nwuba	Forward	6	0-2	0-0	0-0	3	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

76.3Possessions76.3

99.6Offensive Efficiency94.4

94.4Defensive Efficiency99.6

5.2Net Efficiency-5.2

50.9%Effective FG%45.4%

55.1%True Shooting %51.0%

18.9%Turnover Rate24.2%

39.7%Free Throw Rate64.8%

29.3%3-Point Rate44.4%

0.86Assist / Turnover0.37

Game Summary

Cal State Northridge won by 4 points. The game played at approximately 76.3 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Effective FG%.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.