Western Illinois

5-26

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

2.6%Western Illinois

97.4%Central Arkansas

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADCentral Arkansas -24.4

PROJECTED TOTAL150.3

MODEL MONEYLINECentral Arkansas -3746

Central Arkansas

22-12

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreWestern Illinois 63

Projected Total150.3

Projected ScoreCentral Arkansas 87

Team Comparison

Western IllinoisMetricCentral Arkansas

25.9MMH Power Index54

96.2Offensive Efficiency113.9

113.9Defensive Efficiency105.2

-17.7Net Efficiency8.7

-2.4Strength of Schedule-3.9

-26.3Last 10 Net Efficiency9.8

67.5Tempo71.0

45.4%Effective FG%54.3%

17.5%Turnover Rate15.3%

28.1%Offensive Rebound %29.6%

37.5%Free Throw Rate30.7%

-11.9Average Margin6.1

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Central Arkansas HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY97.4%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMCentral Arkansas holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (54.0–25.9), offensive efficiency (113.9–96.2), defensive efficiency (105.2–113.9), net efficiency (8.7–-17.7).

Western Illinois COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (-2.4–-3.9), free throw rate (37.5–30.7).

Final

Western Illinois

65—54

Central Arkansas

Western Illinois by 11 • 69.7 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Western IllinoisTEAM STATCentral Arkansas

24-46FG18-58

52.0%FG%31.0%

4-83PT4-21

50.0%3PT%19.0%

13-26FT14-19

50.0%FT%74.0%

42Rebounds32

7Offensive Rebounds9

12Assists5

16Turnovers14

12Steals9

2Blocks3

17Fouls19

Player Box Score

Western Illinois

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
James Dent Jr.	G	25	5-8	2-4	5-7	6	0	4	0	17
Drew Cisse	Center	34	6-8	0-0	2-4	17	2	0	1	14
Ryan Myers	G	36	3-6	2-4	2-2	1	3	0	0	10
Quinlan Bennett	Guard	37	4-9	0-0	0-2	4	3	3	0	8
Jesiah West	Forward	25	4-9	0-0	0-0	3	3	0	0	8
JJ Kalakon	Guard	30	1-5	0-0	2-6	2	1	5	0	4
Tay Knox	C	7	1-1	0-0	1-2	1	0	0	0	3
De'Meiko Anderson	Guard	2	0-0	0-0	1-2	0	0	0	0	1
KJ Lee	Guard	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Joe Petrakis	Center	1	0-0	0-0	0-1	2	0	0	1	0
Shay Davis	Guard	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Central Arkansas

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Carl Daughtery Jr.	G	11	4-7	1-3	2-3	0	0	0	0	11
Elias Cato	Forward	34	3-12	2-5	2-2	9	0	2	0	10
Tucker Anderson	F	38	3-12	0-7	3-4	2	1	0	1	9
Daniel Sofield	Guard	24	4-7	1-4	0-0	1	0	1	1	9
Johannes Kirsipuu	G	22	2-6	0-1	5-6	4	1	2	0	9
Javion Guy-King	G	18	1-9	0-1	2-2	4	0	2	0	4
Ubong-Abasi Etim	C	24	1-3	0-0	0-2	6	0	0	1	2
Masai Olowokere	Guard	26	0-2	0-0	0-0	4	3	2	0	0
Ibbe Klintman	Guard	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

69.7Possessions69.7

93.3Offensive Efficiency77.5

77.5Defensive Efficiency93.3

15.8Net Efficiency-15.8

56.5%Effective FG%34.5%

55.7%True Shooting %40.3%

23.8%Turnover Rate19.4%

56.5%Free Throw Rate32.8%

17.4%3-Point Rate36.2%

0.75Assist / Turnover0.36

Game Summary

Western Illinois won by 11 points. The game played at approximately 69.7 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Effective FG%.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.