UC San Diego

23-11

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

29.8%UC San Diego

70.2%California

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADCalifornia -5.8

PROJECTED TOTAL150.4

MODEL MONEYLINECalifornia -236

California

22-12

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreUC San Diego 72

Projected Total150.4

Projected ScoreCalifornia 78

Team Comparison

UC San DiegoMetricCalifornia

53.4MMH Power Index56.5

108.4Offensive Efficiency111.8

100.7Defensive Efficiency104.8

7.7Net Efficiency7.0

-1.3Strength of Schedule2.8

5.4Last 10 Net Efficiency1.8

69.8Tempo69.9

53.1%Effective FG%52.6%

16.4%Turnover Rate14.9%

26.9%Offensive Rebound %26.6%

33.2%Free Throw Rate36.8%

5.4Average Margin4.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

UC San Diego HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY70.2%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–5

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMUC San Diego holds the advantage in defensive efficiency (100.7–104.8), net efficiency (7.7–7.0), recent form (5.4–1.8), shooting efficiency (53.1–52.6).

California COUNTERS WITHMMH Power Index (56.5–53.4), offensive efficiency (111.8–108.4), strength of schedule (2.8–-1.3).

Final

UC San Diego

67—71

California

California by 4 • 67.3 estimated possessions

Team Stats

UC San DiegoTEAM STATCalifornia

19-57FG26-54

33.0%FG%48.0%

11-333PT10-22

33.0%3PT%45.0%

18-25FT9-18

72.0%FT%50.0%

43Rebounds30

14Offensive Rebounds5

14Assists19

13Turnovers9

4Steals9

—Blocks5

15Fouls18

Player Box Score

UC San Diego

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	PTS
Tyler McGhie	Guard	34	7-14	5-9	1-2	4	1	1	20
Bryce Pope	Guard	31	4-16	3-12	3-4	4	1	0	14
Aniwaniwa Tait-Jones	Guard	25	2-6	1-1	4-6	5	5	0	9
Hayden Gray	Guard	36	2-6	2-5	2-2	6	5	2	8
Emmanuel Tshimanga	Forward	19	2-3	0-0	4-5	9	0	1	8
Francis Nwaokorie	Forward	34	1-5	0-2	4-6	5	1	0	6
J'Raan Brooks	Forward	14	1-3	0-2	0-0	4	1	0	2
Justin DeGraaf	Forward	4	0-2	0-2	0-0	0	0	0	0
Camden McCormick	Guard	3	0-2	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0

California

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Fardaws Aimaq	Forward	33	9-12	0-1	1-5	10	3	1	3	19
Jalen Cone	Guard	36	5-12	5-10	0-0	1	5	1	0	15
Jaylon Tyson	Forward	30	5-10	1-2	2-3	1	3	2	0	13
Jalen Celestine	G	23	4-6	3-4	1-2	5	0	0	0	12
Keonte Kennedy	Guard	33	2-9	1-2	5-8	6	5	3	2	10
Rodney Brown Jr.	G	8	1-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	2
Grant Newell	F	12	0-3	0-2	0-0	1	1	0	0	0
Devin Askew	G	12	0-1	0-1	0-0	1	1	2	0	0
Devin Curtis	F	7	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	1	0	0	0
Gus Larson	F	6	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

67.3Possessions67.3

99.6Offensive Efficiency105.5

105.5Defensive Efficiency99.6

-5.9Net Efficiency5.9

43.0%Effective FG%57.4%

48.6%True Shooting %56.8%

19.2%Turnover Rate13.5%

43.9%Free Throw Rate33.3%

57.9%3-Point Rate40.7%

1.08Assist / Turnover2.11

Game Summary

California won by 4 points. The game played at approximately 67.3 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Effective FG%, Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.