Saint Louis

29-6

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

55.6%Saint Louis

44.4%NC State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADSaint Louis -2.5

PROJECTED TOTAL162.7

MODEL MONEYLINESaint Louis -125

NC State

20-14

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreSaint Louis 83

Projected Total162.7

Projected ScoreNC State 80

Team Comparison

Saint LouisMetricNC State

66.7MMH Power Index60.1

120.8Offensive Efficiency118.4

97.6Defensive Efficiency108.6

23.2Net Efficiency9.8

0.3Strength of Schedule6.4

0.1Last 10 Net Efficiency-11.9

72.2Tempo70.2

59.9%Effective FG%55.1%

17.1%Turnover Rate13.1%

31.6%Offensive Rebound %28.2%

33.9%Free Throw Rate35.7%

16.8Average Margin6.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Saint Louis HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY55.6%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMSaint Louis holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (66.7–60.1), offensive efficiency (120.8–118.4), defensive efficiency (97.6–108.6), net efficiency (23.2–9.8).

NC State COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (6.4–0.3), ball security (13.1–17.1), free throw rate (35.7–33.9).

Final

Saint Louis

70—82

NC State

NC State by 12 • 69.2 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Saint LouisTEAM STATNC State

23-46FG31-62

50.0%FG%50.0%

1-123PT9-25

8.0%3PT%36.0%

23-29FT11-22

79.0%FT%50.0%

34Rebounds29

7Offensive Rebounds11

10Assists13

18Turnovers6

3Steals6

3Blocks1

22Fouls19

Player Box Score

Saint Louis

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Bradley Ezewiro	Forward	24	6-8	0-0	6-7	9	1	0	0	18
Tim Dalger	Forward	35	6-10	0-0	5-6	4	1	1	1	17
Terrence Hargrove Jr.	Forward	38	3-5	1-2	1-2	8	0	0	1	8
Gibson Jimerson	Guard	35	1-8	0-5	5-6	2	1	0	1	7
Cian Medley	G	21	2-6	0-2	2-2	4	6	0	0	6
Michael Meadows Jr.	Guard	18	3-5	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	6
Larry Hughes II	G	16	1-3	0-2	3-4	1	1	2	0	5
Bruce Zhang	Center	11	1-1	0-0	1-2	3	0	0	0	3
Kellen Thames	G	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

NC State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Casey Morsell	Guard	36	8-11	4-6	1-3	2	2	1	0	21
DJ Horne	Guard	25	7-13	4-6	0-0	0	1	2	0	18
DJ Burns	Forward	23	5-10	0-0	3-5	2	3	0	0	13
Ben Middlebrooks	Forward	15	3-4	1-2	2-4	5	0	2	0	9
Dennis Parker Jr.	G	29	4-8	0-2	0-4	8	0	0	1	8
Jayden Taylor	Guard	36	2-10	0-6	3-4	5	1	0	0	7
Michael O'Connell	Guard	18	2-2	0-0	0-0	1	5	0	0	4
MJ Rice	Guard	2	0-0	0-0	2-2	0	0	0	0	2
Kam Woods	G	4	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	1	1	0	0
LJ Thomas	G	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Mohamed Diarra	Forward	3	0-1	0-1	0-0	2	0	0	0	0
Ernest Ross	Forward	2	0-1	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Breon Pass	Guard	2	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
KJ Keatts	Guard	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

69.2Possessions69.2

101.2Offensive Efficiency118.5

118.5Defensive Efficiency101.2

-17.3Net Efficiency17.3

51.1%Effective FG%57.3%

58.6%True Shooting %56.6%

25.4%Turnover Rate8.9%

63.0%Free Throw Rate35.5%

26.1%3-Point Rate40.3%

0.56Assist / Turnover2.17

Game Summary

NC State won by 12 points. The game played at approximately 69.2 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.