Vermont

22-12

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

24.2%Vermont

75.8%Toledo

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADToledo -7.6

PROJECTED TOTAL151.5

MODEL MONEYLINEToledo -313

Toledo

19-15

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreVermont 72

Projected Total151.5

Projected ScoreToledo 80

Team Comparison

VermontMetricToledo

53.1MMH Power Index58.8

112.2Offensive Efficiency116.0

104.7Defensive Efficiency109.6

7.5Net Efficiency6.4

-4.4Strength of Schedule2.3

12.4Last 10 Net Efficiency10.2

65.4Tempo69.8

54.1%Effective FG%55.1%

14.4%Turnover Rate14.6%

26.8%Offensive Rebound %30.4%

32.4%Free Throw Rate30.3%

4.9Average Margin4.5

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Vermont HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY75.8%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–5

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMVermont holds the advantage in defensive efficiency (104.7–109.6), net efficiency (7.5–6.4), recent form (12.4–10.2), ball security (14.4–14.6).

Toledo COUNTERS WITHMMH Power Index (58.8–53.1), offensive efficiency (116.0–112.2), strength of schedule (2.3–-4.4).

Final

Vermont

86—60

Toledo

Vermont by 26 • 69.6 estimated possessions

Team Stats

VermontTEAM STATToledo

33-61FG21-67

54.0%FG%31.0%

10-273PT4-22

37.0%3PT%18.0%

10-16FT14-18

63.0%FT%78.0%

37Rebounds42

9Offensive Rebounds20

13Assists10

9Turnovers15

8Steals7

4Blocks1

18Fouls15

Player Box Score

Vermont

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
TJ Long	G	25	8-13	1-4	2-2	4	1	2	0	19
Matt Veretto	Forward	25	5-6	3-4	3-6	5	2	1	0	16
TJ Hurley	G	21	5-7	2-3	2-2	2	1	2	1	14
Aaron Deloney	Guard	32	5-11	1-4	0-0	7	2	0	0	11
Sam Alamutu	G	20	4-7	0-1	0-2	1	0	1	0	8
Brenton Mills	Guard	25	2-6	1-4	0-0	6	3	0	0	5
Nick Fiorillo	Forward	18	1-4	1-3	2-2	3	3	1	3	5
Ileri Ayo-Faleye	Forward	17	2-3	0-1	1-2	2	0	1	0	5
Jace Roquemore	Guard	6	1-3	1-2	0-0	1	0	0	0	3
Seth Joba	F	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	1	0	0	0
Jackson Skipper	F	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Michel Ndayishimiye	Guard	3	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Toledo

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Tyler Cochran	G	27	5-13	0-2	2-2	7	0	3	0	12
Dante Maddox Jr.	Guard	27	3-9	1-4	4-6	4	0	2	0	11
Sonny Wilson	G	24	4-9	2-3	1-2	3	0	1	0	11
Javan Simmons	F	26	3-6	0-0	3-4	4	0	0	1	9
Ra'Heim Moss	Guard	24	1-9	0-2	2-2	8	6	1	0	4
Marko Maletic	Guard	8	2-4	0-1	0-0	2	0	0	0	4
Andre Lorentsson	Forward	13	1-4	1-4	0-0	3	0	0	0	3
Bryce Ford	G	20	1-7	0-4	0-0	4	3	0	0	2
Sam Lewis	G	14	1-5	0-2	0-0	1	1	0	0	2
Xavier Thomas	F	4	0-0	0-0	2-2	0	0	0	0	2
Grgur Brcic	F	13	0-1	0-0	0-0	4	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

69.6Possessions69.6

123.6Offensive Efficiency86.2

86.2Defensive Efficiency123.6

37.4Net Efficiency-37.4

62.3%Effective FG%34.3%

62.7%True Shooting %39.7%

13.1%Turnover Rate21.3%

26.2%Free Throw Rate26.9%

44.3%3-Point Rate32.8%

1.44Assist / Turnover0.67

Game Summary

Vermont won by 26 points. The game played at approximately 69.6 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.