UMBC

24-8

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

25.4%UMBC

74.6%Iowa

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADIowa -7.2

PROJECTED TOTAL139.5

MODEL MONEYLINEIowa -294

Iowa

24-13

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreUMBC 66

Projected Total139.5

Projected ScoreIowa 73

Team Comparison

UMBCMetricIowa

59.1MMH Power Index64.2

113.0Offensive Efficiency118.4

99.0Defensive Efficiency105.2

14.0Net Efficiency13.2

-5.6Strength of Schedule5.3

24.7Last 10 Net Efficiency2.0

65.5Tempo63.0

54.3%Effective FG%56.6%

14.3%Turnover Rate15.1%

25.2%Offensive Rebound %30.2%

34.1%Free Throw Rate36.2%

9.1Average Margin8.3

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Iowa HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY74.6%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–5

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMIowa holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (64.2–59.1), offensive efficiency (118.4–113.0), strength of schedule (5.3–-5.6), shooting efficiency (56.6–54.3).

UMBC COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (99.0–105.2), net efficiency (14.0–13.2), recent form (24.7–2.0).

Final

UMBC

81—103

Iowa

Iowa by 22 • 77.4 estimated possessions

Team Stats

UMBCTEAM STATIowa

32-69FG42-84

46.0%FG%50.0%

13-253PT6-23

52.0%3PT%26.0%

4-9FT13-16

44.0%FT%81.0%

36Rebounds47

11Offensive Rebounds18

16Assists33

15Turnovers4

4Steals10

8Blocks1

17Fouls10

Player Box Score

UMBC

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Dion Brown	G	27	9-14	5-6	0-0	4	3	0	1	23
Khydarius Smith	Center	23	8-14	1-1	3-6	3	1	2	0	20
Marcus Banks Jr.	G	26	3-12	2-8	0-0	5	3	0	1	8
Devan Sapp	Guard	12	2-5	2-3	0-0	2	0	1	0	6
Max Lorca-Lloyd	Center	18	2-3	0-0	1-2	4	0	0	3	5
Ashton Reese	Guard	18	2-2	1-1	0-0	2	0	0	1	5
Bryce Johnson	Guard	14	2-7	0-2	0-0	3	1	0	1	4
Regimantas Ciunys	F	12	2-3	0-0	0-1	3	1	0	0	4
Marlon Short	Guard	17	1-2	1-1	0-0	3	2	0	1	3
Franck Emmou	G	13	1-3	1-2	0-0	2	1	1	0	3
Ace Valentine	G	20	0-4	0-1	0-0	2	4	0	0	0

Iowa

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Tony Perkins	Guard	31	9-18	0-3	5-5	6	7	4	0	23
Payton Sandfort	Forward	26	7-12	4-8	0-0	10	6	1	0	18
Ben Krikke	Forward	31	7-11	0-0	3-4	12	3	1	0	17
Patrick McCaffery	Forward	31	6-11	1-4	1-1	2	2	0	0	14
Brock Harding	G	29	4-10	0-3	2-2	1	12	4	0	10
Owen Freeman	F	13	2-5	0-0	2-4	7	1	0	1	6
Josh Dix	G	10	3-6	0-2	0-0	1	1	0	0	6
Pryce Sandfort	F	12	2-3	1-2	0-0	0	0	0	0	5
Dasonte Bowen	G	15	1-7	0-1	0-0	2	1	0	0	2
Even Brauns	Forward	2	1-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	2

Advanced Game Stats

77.4Possessions77.4

104.7Offensive Efficiency133.1

133.1Defensive Efficiency104.7

-28.4Net Efficiency28.4

55.8%Effective FG%53.6%

55.3%True Shooting %56.2%

19.4%Turnover Rate5.2%

13.0%Free Throw Rate19.0%

36.2%3-Point Rate27.4%

1.07Assist / Turnover8.25

Game Summary

Iowa won by 22 points. The game played at approximately 77.4 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.