Northwestern

15-19

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

49.5%Northwestern

50.5%Arizona State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADArizona State -1.0

PROJECTED TOTAL152.0

MODEL MONEYLINEArizona State -102

Arizona State

17-16

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreNorthwestern 75

Projected Total152.0

Projected ScoreArizona State 76

Team Comparison

NorthwesternMetricArizona State

55.4MMH Power Index51

111.6Offensive Efficiency108.1

109.8Defensive Efficiency110.9

1.8Net Efficiency-2.8

5.6Strength of Schedule7.0

-2.7Last 10 Net Efficiency-7.5

65.6Tempo70.6

51.9%Effective FG%51.3%

13.0%Turnover Rate17.1%

28.2%Offensive Rebound %29.6%

34.8%Free Throw Rate40.2%

1.2Average Margin-1.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Northwestern HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY50.5%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMNorthwestern holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (55.4–51.0), offensive efficiency (111.6–108.1), defensive efficiency (109.8–110.9), net efficiency (1.8–-2.8).

Arizona State COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (7.0–5.6), offensive rebounding (29.6–28.2), free throw rate (40.2–34.8).

Final

Northwestern

65—46

Arizona State

Northwestern by 19 • 64.9 estimated possessions

Team Stats

NorthwesternTEAM STATArizona State

26-55FG16-51

47.0%FG%31.0%

9-223PT3-18

41.0%3PT%17.0%

4-9FT11-18

44.0%FT%61.0%

41Rebounds31

6Offensive Rebounds5

13Assists9

12Turnovers10

5Steals6

2Blocks—

16Fouls11

Player Box Score

Northwestern

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Boo Buie	Guard	36	8-15	4-8	2-2	7	4	0	0	22
Brooks Barnhizer	Guard	40	7-13	1-2	1-3	9	3	2	0	16
Ty Berry	Guard	35	4-8	3-5	1-2	10	1	2	0	12
Nick Martinelli	F	18	3-5	0-0	0-0	4	2	0	0	6
Luke Hunger	F	15	2-3	0-1	0-0	2	0	0	0	4
Ryan Langborg	Guard	30	1-9	1-6	0-0	4	1	1	0	3
Matthew Nicholson	Center	19	1-2	0-0	0-2	3	1	0	2	2
Blake Preston	Forward	7	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	1	0	0	0

Arizona State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	PTS
Frankie Collins	G	34	5-13	0-2	0-1	3	4	3	10
Jamiya Neal	Guard	33	3-10	1-4	0-0	4	0	0	7
Bryant Selebangue	F	22	3-3	0-0	1-4	7	1	1	7
Akil Watson	F	16	3-4	0-1	1-1	0	1	0	7
Jose Perez	Guard	26	0-4	0-1	6-8	6	2	1	6
Adam Miller	G	25	1-10	1-6	3-4	2	0	0	6
Brycen Long	G	15	1-2	1-2	0-0	1	0	0	3
Alonzo Gaffney	Forward	16	0-4	0-2	0-0	1	1	0	0
Kamari Lands	G	6	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	1	0
Braelon Green	G	5	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0
Bobby Hurley	Guard	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

64.9Possessions64.9

100.2Offensive Efficiency70.9

70.9Defensive Efficiency100.2

29.3Net Efficiency-29.3

55.5%Effective FG%34.3%

54.8%True Shooting %38.6%

18.4%Turnover Rate15.5%

16.4%Free Throw Rate35.3%

40.0%3-Point Rate35.3%

1.08Assist / Turnover0.90

Game Summary

Northwestern won by 19 points. The game played at approximately 64.9 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.