Holy Cross

11-22

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

10.5%Holy Cross

89.5%Harvard

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADHarvard -14.8

PROJECTED TOTAL138.5

MODEL MONEYLINEHarvard -852

Harvard

17-12

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreHoly Cross 62

Projected Total138.5

Projected ScoreHarvard 77

Team Comparison

Holy CrossMetricHarvard

37.9MMH Power Index52.6

103.3Offensive Efficiency108.1

110.9Defensive Efficiency102.9

-7.6Net Efficiency5.2

-2.6Strength of Schedule-0.1

-5.2Last 10 Net Efficiency8.3

66.1Tempo64.8

49.8%Effective FG%53.4%

15.4%Turnover Rate17.2%

22.4%Offensive Rebound %26.3%

32.5%Free Throw Rate27.9%

-5.1Average Margin3.4

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Harvard HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY89.5%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMHarvard holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (52.6–37.9), offensive efficiency (108.1–103.3), defensive efficiency (102.9–110.9), net efficiency (5.2–-7.6).

Holy Cross COUNTERS WITHball security (15.4–17.2), free throw rate (32.5–27.9).

Final

Holy Cross

72—74

Harvard

Harvard by 2 • 64.3 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Holy CrossTEAM STATHarvard

29-58FG26-53

50.0%FG%49.0%

9-233PT11-24

39.0%3PT%46.0%

5-6FT11-14

83.0%FT%79.0%

24Rebounds32

4Offensive Rebounds7

8Assists15

8Turnovers11

4Steals2

3Blocks2

16Fouls8

Player Box Score

Holy Cross

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Joe Octave	Guard	36	10-21	5-11	0-0	8	2	1	0	25
Kahlil Singleton	G	37	8-13	3-6	2-2	2	0	1	0	21
Caleb Kenney	Forward	24	5-8	0-0	1-1	7	2	1	3	11
A.J. Wills	G	31	4-11	1-4	1-1	0	3	1	0	10
Declan Ryan	F	26	2-3	0-0	1-2	2	0	0	0	5
Joe Nugent	F	25	0-1	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
DeAndre Williams	G	15	0-1	0-1	0-0	1	1	0	0	0
Louth-M Coulibaly	Forward	6	0-0	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	0

Harvard

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Chisom Okpara	F	34	10-14	1-2	5-6	6	4	0	0	26
Tyler Simon	F	17	4-8	4-7	0-0	5	1	0	1	12
Louis Lesmond	G	29	3-5	3-4	0-0	3	0	1	0	9
Chandler Pigge	G	28	3-10	1-4	2-2	2	3	0	0	9
Thomas Batties II	F	26	2-5	1-3	1-2	4	1	0	0	6
Luca Ace-Nasteski	F	20	2-3	0-0	1-2	2	0	0	0	5
Denham Wojcik	G	37	1-4	0-1	2-2	6	5	1	0	4
Xavier Nesbitt	G	9	1-4	1-3	0-0	1	1	0	1	3

Advanced Game Stats

64.3Possessions64.3

112.0Offensive Efficiency115.1

115.1Defensive Efficiency112.0

-3.1Net Efficiency3.1

57.8%Effective FG%59.4%

59.2%True Shooting %62.0%

12.3%Turnover Rate17.3%

10.3%Free Throw Rate26.4%

39.7%3-Point Rate45.3%

1.00Assist / Turnover1.36

Game Summary

Harvard won by 2 points. The game played at approximately 64.3 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Turnover Rate.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.