Northern Colorado

20-12

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

94.8%Northern Colorado

5.2%Air Force

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADNorthern Colorado -19.2

PROJECTED TOTAL152.1

MODEL MONEYLINENorthern Colorado -1823

Air Force

3-29

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreNorthern Colorado 86

Projected Total152.1

Projected ScoreAir Force 66

Team Comparison

Northern ColoradoMetricAir Force

53.7MMH Power Index23

116.0Offensive Efficiency91.3

107.6Defensive Efficiency118.5

8.4Net Efficiency-27.2

-4.3Strength of Schedule6.2

10.8Last 10 Net Efficiency-33.5

71.1Tempo67.4

56.9%Effective FG%49.0%

15.3%Turnover Rate21.9%

27.9%Offensive Rebound %21.4%

27.8%Free Throw Rate35.9%

6.0Average Margin-18.3

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Northern Colorado HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY94.8%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMNorthern Colorado holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (53.7–23.0), offensive efficiency (116.0–91.3), defensive efficiency (107.6–118.5), net efficiency (8.4–-27.2).

Air Force COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (6.2–-4.3), free throw rate (35.9–27.8).

Final

Northern Colorado

83—79

Air Force

Northern Colorado by 4 • 66.3 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Northern ColoradoTEAM STATAir Force

31-55FG29-55

56.0%FG%53.0%

9-203PT15-29

45.0%3PT%52.0%

12-14FT6-8

86.0%FT%75.0%

28Rebounds21

7Offensive Rebounds4

17Assists21

12Turnovers11

5Steals6

1Blocks5

15Fouls15

Player Box Score

Northern Colorado

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Saint Thomas	Forward	32	10-13	3-5	1-1	10	3	2	1	24
Jaron Rillie	Guard	37	5-9	1-2	3-3	4	6	1	0	14
Riley Abercrombie	Forward	25	4-8	2-5	1-1	1	0	0	0	11
Zach Bloch	G	17	2-4	2-4	2-3	2	1	0	0	8
Dejour Reaves	G	20	3-7	1-3	0-0	0	0	0	0	7
Langston Reynolds	G	19	3-4	0-1	1-2	2	1	1	0	7
Brock Wisne	F	23	1-5	0-0	4-4	5	3	0	0	6
Theo Hughes	Center	16	3-4	0-0	0-0	1	3	0	0	6
Marcell McCreary	G	11	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	1	0	0

Air Force

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Beau Becker	Forward	31	10-15	6-9	0-0	3	2	1	2	26
Rytis Petraitis	F	28	7-10	3-3	1-2	3	8	0	1	18
Kellan Boylan	F	40	4-5	3-4	4-4	9	0	2	2	15
Ethan Taylor	Guard	40	4-15	2-9	0-0	1	4	0	0	10
Jeffrey Mills	Guard	38	3-7	1-3	0-0	3	2	2	0	7
Byron Brown	Guard	14	1-2	0-0	1-2	0	2	0	0	3
Corbin Green	F	9	0-1	0-1	0-0	1	3	1	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

66.3Possessions66.3

125.2Offensive Efficiency119.2

119.2Defensive Efficiency125.2

6.0Net Efficiency-6.0

64.5%Effective FG%66.4%

67.3%True Shooting %67.2%

18.0%Turnover Rate16.7%

25.5%Free Throw Rate14.5%

36.4%3-Point Rate52.7%

1.42Assist / Turnover1.91

Game Summary

Northern Colorado won by 4 points. The game played at approximately 66.3 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.