Abilene Christian

14-19

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

2.9%Abilene Christian

97.1%Arkansas

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADArkansas -22.5

PROJECTED TOTAL160.4

MODEL MONEYLINEArkansas -3348

Arkansas

28-9

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreAbilene Christian 69

Projected Total160.4

Projected ScoreArkansas 91

Team Comparison

Abilene ChristianMetricArkansas

42.4MMH Power Index69.3

101.1Offensive Efficiency122.2

104.1Defensive Efficiency109.8

-3.0Net Efficiency12.4

-1.4Strength of Schedule8.6

-5.3Last 10 Net Efficiency3.4

69.6Tempo73.8

48.9%Effective FG%56.4%

20.6%Turnover Rate12.2%

32.4%Offensive Rebound %31.8%

42.0%Free Throw Rate36.5%

-2.1Average Margin9.2

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Arkansas HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY97.1%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMArkansas holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (69.3–42.4), offensive efficiency (122.2–101.1), net efficiency (12.4–-3.0), strength of schedule (8.6–-1.4).

Abilene Christian COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (104.1–109.8), offensive rebounding (32.4–31.8), free throw rate (42.0–36.5).

Final

Abilene Christian

73—83

Arkansas

Arkansas by 10 • 76.9 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Abilene ChristianTEAM STATArkansas

28-72FG27-52

39.0%FG%52.0%

4-163PT7-15

25.0%3PT%47.0%

13-20FT22-28

65.0%FT%79.0%

34Rebounds45

11Offensive Rebounds7

15Assists9

8Turnovers17

10Steals2

1Blocks6

21Fouls17

Player Box Score

Abilene Christian

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Ali Dibba	G	30	8-17	0-2	2-3	1	0	1	0	18
Leonardo Bettiol	F	21	5-11	0-0	4-5	8	1	1	0	14
Kavion McClain	F	26	4-8	2-2	0-0	1	5	0	1	10
Hunter Jack Madden	Guard	34	3-11	1-5	1-3	6	3	1	0	8
Airion Simmons	Forward	23	2-9	0-4	3-4	4	5	0	0	7
Cameron Steele	Forward	21	3-5	1-1	0-0	4	0	2	0	7
Immanuel Allen	Guard	18	2-5	0-2	3-4	2	1	2	0	7
Aidan Igiehon	Forward	8	1-3	0-0	0-1	2	0	1	0	2
Nasir DeGruy	Guard	11	0-3	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	0
JV Seat	G	6	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	1	0	0
Ma'Shy Hill	F	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	1	0	0

Arkansas

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Tramon Mark	G	35	9-14	2-2	5-6	11	2	0	0	25
Khalif Battle	Guard	26	5-8	3-4	5-6	4	0	1	0	18
Keyon Menifield Jr.	Guard	28	4-8	0-3	3-4	6	2	0	0	11
Chandler Lawson	Forward	25	4-6	1-2	0-0	10	1	0	2	9
Trevon Brazile	F	15	3-6	1-2	1-2	4	0	1	1	8
Jalen Graham	Forward	13	2-2	0-0	3-4	3	0	0	2	7
Davonte Davis	Guard	36	0-4	0-0	4-4	3	2	0	0	4
Makhi Mitchell	Forward	8	0-1	0-0	1-2	3	1	0	1	1
Jeremiah Davenport	Guard	5	0-2	0-2	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Layden Blocker	G	5	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	1	0	0	0
El Ellis	Guard	4	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

76.9Possessions76.9

94.9Offensive Efficiency107.9

107.9Defensive Efficiency94.9

-13.0Net Efficiency13.0

41.7%Effective FG%58.7%

44.8%True Shooting %63.6%

10.2%Turnover Rate22.6%

27.8%Free Throw Rate53.8%

22.2%3-Point Rate28.8%

1.88Assist / Turnover0.53

Game Summary

Arkansas won by 10 points. The game played at approximately 76.9 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, True Shooting %.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.