Buffalo

17-15

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

36.2%Buffalo

63.8%Richmond

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADRichmond -4.9

PROJECTED TOTAL155.0

MODEL MONEYLINERichmond -176

Richmond

15-17

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreBuffalo 75

Projected Total155.0

Projected ScoreRichmond 80

Team Comparison

BuffaloMetricRichmond

49.7MMH Power Index50.2

114.9Offensive Efficiency111.3

112.2Defensive Efficiency107.3

2.7Net Efficiency4.0

0.0Strength of Schedule0.3

-5.9Last 10 Net Efficiency-6.6

67.9Tempo68.9

56.1%Effective FG%52.8%

16.1%Turnover Rate14.1%

27.6%Offensive Rebound %24.7%

40.4%Free Throw Rate37.5%

1.8Average Margin2.8

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Richmond HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY63.8%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–5

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMRichmond holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (50.2–49.7), defensive efficiency (107.3–112.2), net efficiency (4.0–2.7), strength of schedule (0.3–0.0).

Buffalo COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (114.9–111.3), recent form (-5.9–-6.6), shooting efficiency (56.1–52.8).

Final

Buffalo

66—72

Richmond

Richmond by 6 • 73.7 estimated possessions

Team Stats

BuffaloTEAM STATRichmond

26-72FG27-59

36.0%FG%46.0%

7-373PT5-19

19.0%3PT%26.0%

7-12FT13-18

58.0%FT%72.0%

38Rebounds44

9Offensive Rebounds4

13Assists14

6Turnovers9

2Steals2

1Blocks3

14Fouls10

Player Box Score

Buffalo

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Sy Chatman	Forward	29	8-18	1-5	4-6	5	2	0	0	21
Isaiah Adams	Guard	34	8-21	3-13	0-0	3	1	0	0	19
Anquan Boldin Jr.	G	31	3-5	2-4	0-0	5	1	0	0	8
Ryan Sabol	G	28	3-10	1-7	1-2	2	2	1	0	8
Shawn Fulcher	Guard	22	3-8	0-1	1-2	1	3	1	0	7
Lloyd McVeigh	Guard	15	1-1	0-0	0-0	6	2	0	0	2
Jonnivius Smith	Forward	16	0-1	0-0	1-2	8	1	0	0	1
James Graham III	G	21	0-8	0-7	0-0	6	1	0	1	0
Bryson Wilson	G	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Richmond

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Neal Quinn	Center	27	9-14	0-0	5-8	7	4	0	0	23
Isaiah Bigelow	Forward	27	4-10	2-5	5-6	12	2	1	0	15
Dji Bailey	Guard	35	6-9	0-2	1-2	5	4	1	0	13
Jordan King	Guard	36	4-10	2-5	0-0	6	3	0	0	10
Mikkel Tyne	G	27	2-7	1-3	2-2	5	0	0	0	7
Mike Walz	C	12	2-5	0-3	0-0	3	0	0	1	4
Tyler Harris	Forward	20	0-2	0-0	0-0	2	1	0	2	0
Jason Roche	Guard	12	0-1	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Aidan Noyes	F	4	0-1	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

73.7Possessions73.7

89.6Offensive Efficiency97.7

97.7Defensive Efficiency89.6

-8.1Net Efficiency8.1

41.0%Effective FG%50.0%

42.5%True Shooting %53.3%

8.0%Turnover Rate12.4%

16.7%Free Throw Rate30.5%

51.4%3-Point Rate32.2%

2.17Assist / Turnover1.56

Game Summary

Richmond won by 6 points. The game played at approximately 73.7 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, True Shooting %.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.