UNC Asheville

15-17

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

21.6%UNC Asheville

78.4%App State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADApp State -9.2

PROJECTED TOTAL142.2

MODEL MONEYLINEApp State -363

App State

19-13

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreUNC Asheville 67

Projected Total142.2

Projected ScoreApp State 76

Team Comparison

UNC AshevilleMetricApp State

47.2MMH Power Index54.2

107.5Offensive Efficiency110.9

106.8Defensive Efficiency101.7

0.7Net Efficiency9.2

-0.5Strength of Schedule-4.2

-5.5Last 10 Net Efficiency7.0

68.3Tempo64.9

52.0%Effective FG%51.1%

17.7%Turnover Rate15.2%

30.9%Offensive Rebound %34.2%

40.2%Free Throw Rate39.8%

0.5Average Margin6.0

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

App State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY78.4%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMApp State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (54.2–47.2), offensive efficiency (110.9–107.5), defensive efficiency (101.7–106.8), net efficiency (9.2–0.7).

UNC Asheville COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (-0.5–-4.2), shooting efficiency (52.0–51.1), free throw rate (40.2–39.8).

Final

UNC Asheville

76—63

App State

UNC Asheville by 13 • 70.4 estimated possessions

Team Stats

UNC AshevilleTEAM STATApp State

28-62FG23-64

45.0%FG%36.0%

14-253PT3-24

56.0%3PT%13.0%

6-11FT14-22

55.0%FT%64.0%

46Rebounds37

11Offensive Rebounds10

17Assists10

13Turnovers7

3Steals9

3Blocks7

18Fouls14

Player Box Score

UNC Asheville

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Josh Banks	Guard	28	10-18	10-12	3-3	3	0	0	1	33
Nick McMullen	Forward	32	6-8	0-0	0-0	12	2	1	0	12
Drew Pember	Forward	36	4-12	1-3	2-4	15	10	2	2	11
Fletcher Abee	Guard	31	2-8	2-5	0-0	1	0	0	0	6
Jamon Battle	Forward	17	2-4	0-1	0-0	3	0	0	0	4
Caleb Burgess	Guard	29	1-5	0-2	1-4	5	5	0	0	3
Trent Stephney	Guard	12	1-3	1-2	0-0	2	0	0	0	3
Davion Cunningham	G	9	1-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	2
Toyaz Solomon	F	6	1-3	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	2

App State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Donovan Gregory	Forward	27	7-11	0-1	4-4	6	3	4	0	18
Tre'Von Spillers	F	32	6-12	0-0	5-5	11	0	0	3	17
CJ Huntley	Forward	31	2-6	0-3	4-4	6	0	1	2	8
Terence Harcum	Guard	33	2-9	2-7	0-0	2	0	0	0	6
Jordan Marsh	G	15	2-7	0-4	0-5	2	1	0	0	4
Xavion Brown	Guard	12	2-2	0-0	0-0	1	1	0	1	4
Christopher Mantis	Forward	16	1-4	1-4	0-0	1	1	0	0	3
Myles Tate	Guard	21	1-10	0-4	0-0	2	3	4	0	2
Justin Abson	F	13	0-3	0-1	1-4	4	1	0	1	1

Advanced Game Stats

70.4Possessions70.4

108.0Offensive Efficiency89.5

89.5Defensive Efficiency108.0

18.5Net Efficiency-18.5

56.5%Effective FG%38.3%

56.5%True Shooting %42.3%

18.8%Turnover Rate9.8%

17.7%Free Throw Rate34.4%

40.3%3-Point Rate37.5%

1.31Assist / Turnover1.43

Game Summary

UNC Asheville won by 13 points. The game played at approximately 70.4 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.