Ball State

12-19

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

17.7%Ball State

82.3%Minnesota

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADMinnesota -10.1

PROJECTED TOTAL136.5

MODEL MONEYLINEMinnesota -465

Minnesota

15-18

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreBall State 63

Projected Total136.5

Projected ScoreMinnesota 73

Team Comparison

Ball StateMetricMinnesota

41.3MMH Power Index50.5

101.7Offensive Efficiency109.1

104.7Defensive Efficiency107.7

-3.0Net Efficiency1.4

-3.9Strength of Schedule3.2

-0.9Last 10 Net Efficiency-6.6

66.4Tempo63.6

48.3%Effective FG%54.1%

16.0%Turnover Rate16.5%

26.5%Offensive Rebound %26.5%

33.0%Free Throw Rate36.9%

-2.0Average Margin0.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Minnesota HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY82.3%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMMinnesota holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (50.5–41.3), offensive efficiency (109.1–101.7), net efficiency (1.4–-3.0), strength of schedule (3.2–-3.9).

Ball State COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (104.7–107.7), recent form (-0.9–-6.6), ball security (16.0–16.5).

Final

Ball State

63—80

Minnesota

Minnesota by 17 • 64.4 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Ball StateTEAM STATMinnesota

24-53FG30-57

45.0%FG%53.0%

8-213PT8-18

38.0%3PT%44.0%

7-11FT12-22

64.0%FT%55.0%

30Rebounds35

7Offensive Rebounds10

11Assists22

14Turnovers6

2Steals7

1Blocks3

16Fouls15

Player Box Score

Ball State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jalin Anderson	Point Guard	39	11-18	3-6	1-2	4	7	1	0	26
Basheer Jihad	Forward	37	5-10	2-4	5-7	7	2	1	0	17
Davion Bailey	G	35	3-6	2-5	0-0	2	0	0	0	8
Jurica Zagorsak	Guard	22	3-5	1-3	0-0	2	1	0	0	7
Zane Doughty	C	21	2-7	0-0	1-2	5	0	0	1	5
Mason Jones	F	30	0-4	0-2	0-0	3	1	0	0	0
Trent Middleton Jr.	G	16	0-3	0-1	0-0	2	0	0	0	0

Minnesota

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Mike Mitchell Jr.	Guard	37	8-11	4-5	0-0	4	5	3	1	20
Pharrel Payne	F	24	5-8	0-0	3-5	4	0	1	0	13
Elijah Hawkins	Guard	37	3-6	1-1	5-6	7	9	1	0	12
Joshua Ola-Joseph	F	22	5-8	0-1	2-3	3	0	0	0	12
Cam Christie	Guard	37	4-11	2-6	1-2	7	6	0	0	11
Isaiah Ihnen	F	15	3-7	1-4	1-1	0	0	1	0	8
Parker Fox	Forward	16	2-4	0-0	0-5	5	2	1	2	4
Kadyn Betts	F	11	0-2	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Kris Keinys	F	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

64.4Possessions64.4

97.8Offensive Efficiency124.2

124.2Defensive Efficiency97.8

-26.4Net Efficiency26.4

52.8%Effective FG%59.6%

54.1%True Shooting %59.3%

21.5%Turnover Rate9.5%

20.8%Free Throw Rate38.6%

39.6%3-Point Rate31.6%

0.79Assist / Turnover3.67

Game Summary

Minnesota won by 17 points. The game played at approximately 64.4 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.