Southeast Missouri State

20-13

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

30.8%Southeast Missouri State

69.2%Illinois State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADIllinois State -6.5

PROJECTED TOTAL144.8

MODEL MONEYLINEIllinois State -225

Illinois State

23-13

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreSoutheast Missouri State 69

Projected Total144.8

Projected ScoreIllinois State 76

Team Comparison

Southeast Missouri StateMetricIllinois State

51.6MMH Power Index54.3

105.3Offensive Efficiency110.6

99.8Defensive Efficiency101.4

5.5Net Efficiency9.2

-2.4Strength of Schedule1.0

6.4Last 10 Net Efficiency-4.4

70.8Tempo67.5

50.6%Effective FG%54.3%

16.6%Turnover Rate16.8%

29.6%Offensive Rebound %28.3%

39.3%Free Throw Rate32.0%

3.9Average Margin6.2

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Illinois State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY69.2%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–5

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMIllinois State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (54.3–51.6), offensive efficiency (110.6–105.3), net efficiency (9.2–5.5), strength of schedule (1.0–-2.4).

Southeast Missouri State COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (99.8–101.4), recent form (6.4–-4.4), ball security (16.6–16.8).

Final

Southeast Missouri State

64—85

Illinois State

Illinois State by 21 • 70.7 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Southeast Missouri StateTEAM STATIllinois State

23-58FG27-55

40.0%FG%49.0%

6-243PT8-23

25.0%3PT%35.0%

12-17FT23-30

71.0%FT%77.0%

30Rebounds38

9Offensive Rebounds9

10Assists15

14Turnovers10

6Steals8

3Blocks2

25Fouls20

Player Box Score

Southeast Missouri State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Adam Larson	Forward	28	5-7	5-7	1-2	4	0	2	0	16
Braxton Stacker	G	24	4-12	0-2	3-4	5	0	1	1	11
Dylan Branson	Forward	22	2-4	0-2	4-5	3	4	1	0	8
Rob Martin	G	29	3-9	0-3	1-1	1	4	0	0	7
Aquan Smart	Guard	19	3-11	0-4	1-1	1	0	1	0	7
Marqueas Bell	G	8	2-3	0-0	2-3	3	0	0	0	6
Josh Earley	Forward	17	2-2	0-0	0-0	2	1	0	1	4
BJ Ward	G	22	1-6	1-5	0-0	2	1	0	0	3
Mason Hanback	Center	17	1-2	0-0	0-1	4	0	1	0	2
Gavyn Elkamil	Guard	11	0-2	0-1	0-0	3	0	0	1	0
David Idada	C	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Illinois State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Darius Burford	Guard	31	6-11	3-5	7-8	4	3	2	0	22
Kendall Lewis	Forward	24	6-6	0-0	6-7	9	0	1	0	18
Johnny Kinziger	G	13	3-6	1-2	2-3	0	1	2	0	9
Dalton Banks	Guard	26	3-7	2-4	0-0	7	5	0	1	8
Malachi Poindexter	Guard	24	2-6	1-3	2-2	3	3	1	0	7
Myles Foster	Forward	19	3-5	0-0	1-4	5	0	0	1	7
Brandon Lieb	F	11	2-4	0-0	1-2	3	0	1	0	5
Jordan Davis	Guard	14	1-3	1-3	0-0	2	0	1	0	3
Ty Pence	G	12	0-2	0-2	2-2	1	2	0	0	2
Ryan Schmitt	Forward	5	0-1	0-1	2-2	0	0	0	0	2
Harouna Sissoko	Forward	2	1-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	2
Luke Kasubke	Guard	13	0-2	0-2	0-0	1	1	0	0	0
Nik Stadelman	Guard	6	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

70.7Possessions70.7

90.5Offensive Efficiency120.2

120.2Defensive Efficiency90.5

-29.7Net Efficiency29.7

44.8%Effective FG%56.4%

48.4%True Shooting %61.4%

19.7%Turnover Rate14.2%

29.3%Free Throw Rate54.5%

41.4%3-Point Rate41.8%

0.71Assist / Turnover1.50

Game Summary

Illinois State won by 21 points. The game played at approximately 70.7 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.