Northern Kentucky

20-14

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

8.5%Northern Kentucky

91.5%Saint Mary's

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADSaint Mary's -15.7

PROJECTED TOTAL153.4

MODEL MONEYLINESaint Mary's -1076

Saint Mary's

27-6

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreNorthern Kentucky 69

Projected Total153.4

Projected ScoreSaint Mary's 85

Team Comparison

Northern KentuckyMetricSaint Mary's

53.9MMH Power Index70.7

114.9Offensive Efficiency116.7

107.1Defensive Efficiency97.4

7.8Net Efficiency19.3

-2.9Strength of Schedule3.0

4.6Last 10 Net Efficiency18.6

72.3Tempo66.3

54.5%Effective FG%53.1%

16.3%Turnover Rate16.6%

33.0%Offensive Rebound %37.4%

37.1%Free Throw Rate36.8%

5.7Average Margin12.8

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Saint Mary's HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY91.5%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMSaint Mary's holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (70.7–53.9), offensive efficiency (116.7–114.9), defensive efficiency (97.4–107.1), net efficiency (19.3–7.8).

Northern Kentucky COUNTERS WITHshooting efficiency (54.5–53.1), ball security (16.3–16.6), free throw rate (37.1–36.8).

Final

Northern Kentucky

56—92

Saint Mary's

Saint Mary's by 36 • 64.2 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Northern KentuckyTEAM STATSaint Mary's

19-50FG34-62

38.0%FG%55.0%

5-133PT12-21

38.0%3PT%57.0%

13-17FT12-13

76.0%FT%92.0%

19Rebounds42

7Offensive Rebounds16

8Assists22

13Turnovers12

5Steals9

1Blocks4

14Fouls14

Player Box Score

Northern Kentucky

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Marques Warrick	Guard	37	6-17	2-7	0-0	0	2	0	0	14
Trey Robinson	Guard	35	4-10	1-2	5-7	5	0	1	1	14
Michael Bradley	Guard	26	3-5	2-3	2-2	0	1	0	0	10
Jeramiah Israel	Guard	20	4-5	0-0	0-0	1	2	3	0	8
LJ Wells	F	23	1-5	0-0	3-4	9	0	0	0	5
Keeyan Itejere	F	23	0-3	0-0	2-2	1	0	0	0	2
Sam Vinson	Guard	15	1-3	0-1	0-0	1	3	1	0	2
Cade Meyer	Forward	14	0-2	0-0	1-2	0	0	0	0	1
Cesar Tchilombo	Forward	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Fiston Ipassou	Guard	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Randall Pettus II	G	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Saint Mary's

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Augustas Marciulionis	Guard	33	6-13	3-5	3-3	3	8	1	0	18
Joshua Jefferson	F	30	5-5	3-3	2-2	12	4	0	2	15
Mitchell Saxen	Center	27	5-10	0-0	2-2	13	2	2	1	12
Aidan Mahaney	G	27	4-10	3-6	0-0	2	2	2	0	11
Alex Ducas	Guard	25	3-5	2-4	0-0	3	2	0	0	8
Harry Wessels	C	10	3-5	0-0	2-2	4	0	1	0	8
Mason Forbes	Forward	9	4-5	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	1	8
Luke Barrett	Forward	12	2-3	1-1	2-2	2	0	0	0	7
Jordan Ross	G	16	1-3	0-0	1-2	1	3	2	0	3
Cade Bennett	G	4	1-1	0-0	0-0	0	1	0	0	2
Chris Howell	G	5	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Kevin Gad	F	2	0-2	0-2	0-0	0	0	1	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

64.2Possessions64.2

87.2Offensive Efficiency143.3

143.3Defensive Efficiency87.2

-56.1Net Efficiency56.1

43.0%Effective FG%64.5%

48.2%True Shooting %67.5%

20.3%Turnover Rate18.7%

34.0%Free Throw Rate21.0%

26.0%3-Point Rate33.9%

0.62Assist / Turnover1.83

Game Summary

Saint Mary's won by 36 points. The game played at approximately 64.2 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.