Omaha

16-17

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

32.5%Omaha

67.5%Cal Poly

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADCal Poly -4.7

PROJECTED TOTAL164.3

MODEL MONEYLINECal Poly -208

Cal Poly

14-19

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreOmaha 80

Projected Total164.3

Projected ScoreCal Poly 84

Team Comparison

OmahaMetricCal Poly

44.5MMH Power Index46.5

110.2Offensive Efficiency107.2

110.8Defensive Efficiency111.0

-0.6Net Efficiency-3.8

-2.5Strength of Schedule1.7

-4.5Last 10 Net Efficiency2.4

69.0Tempo76.6

53.6%Effective FG%52.2%

16.0%Turnover Rate19.8%

27.2%Offensive Rebound %29.9%

34.0%Free Throw Rate35.8%

-0.5Average Margin-2.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Omaha HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY67.5%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–5

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMOmaha holds the advantage in offensive efficiency (110.2–107.2), defensive efficiency (110.8–111.0), net efficiency (-0.6–-3.8), shooting efficiency (53.6–52.2).

Cal Poly COUNTERS WITHMMH Power Index (46.5–44.5), strength of schedule (1.7–-2.5), recent form (2.4–-4.5).

Final

Omaha

53—66

Cal Poly

Cal Poly by 13 • 66.2 estimated possessions

Team Stats

OmahaTEAM STATCal Poly

21-62FG24-58

34.0%FG%41.0%

3-163PT7-24

19.0%3PT%29.0%

8-14FT11-14

57.0%FT%79.0%

42Rebounds39

15Offensive Rebounds9

2Assists12

12Turnovers11

3Steals5

3Blocks9

17Fouls16

Player Box Score

Omaha

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Frankie Fidler	Forward	40	7-16	0-4	4-4	8	0	0	0	18
Biko Johnson	G	22	5-8	3-4	1-2	3	0	0	0	14
Marquel Sutton	F	30	3-15	0-2	0-2	7	1	0	1	6
JJ White	G	22	2-6	0-1	1-1	3	1	2	0	5
Marcel Bryant	F	12	2-6	0-1	1-2	8	0	0	0	5
Nick Davis	Forward	24	1-4	0-0	0-0	3	0	1	1	2
Jamal Ambrose	C	9	1-1	0-0	0-1	2	0	0	0	2
Tony Osburn	G	10	0-4	0-3	1-2	1	0	0	0	1
Grant Stubblefield	G	16	0-0	0-0	0-0	4	0	0	0	0
Jaeden Marshall	G	15	0-2	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	1	0

Cal Poly

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Kobe Sanders	Guard	37	10-16	2-5	8-9	1	1	0	3	30
Jarred Hyder	Guard	33	5-13	4-10	0-0	6	4	3	0	14
Aaron Price Jr.	PF	24	3-7	0-2	0-0	3	2	0	0	6
Tuukka Jaakkola	Forward	19	2-5	0-0	2-3	9	0	0	2	6
Paul Bizimana	Forward	18	2-5	1-3	1-2	7	1	0	2	6
Quentin Jones	G	33	2-8	0-1	0-0	5	3	2	0	4
Joel Armotrading	C	15	0-1	0-0	0-0	4	0	0	1	0
Justin Page	G	15	0-2	0-2	0-0	2	0	0	0	0
Hayden Jory	Guard	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	1	0	1	0
Cole Haller	Forward	2	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

66.2Possessions66.2

80.1Offensive Efficiency99.7

99.7Defensive Efficiency80.1

-19.6Net Efficiency19.6

36.3%Effective FG%47.4%

38.6%True Shooting %51.0%

18.3%Turnover Rate16.5%

22.6%Free Throw Rate24.1%

25.8%3-Point Rate41.4%

0.17Assist / Turnover1.09

Game Summary

Cal Poly won by 13 points. The game played at approximately 66.2 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.