Montana State

18-14

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

47.3%Montana State

52.7%Cal State Northridge

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADCal State Northridge -1.0

PROJECTED TOTAL158.8

MODEL MONEYLINECal State Northridge -111

Cal State Northridge

20-14

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreMontana State 79

Projected Total158.8

Projected ScoreCal State Northridge 80

Team Comparison

Montana StateMetricCal State Northridge

53.6MMH Power Index50

114.4Offensive Efficiency107.3

104.9Defensive Efficiency105.2

9.5Net Efficiency2.1

-3.7Strength of Schedule-0.6

4.9Last 10 Net Efficiency1.8

68.1Tempo75.9

55.1%Effective FG%51.0%

14.7%Turnover Rate17.3%

28.1%Offensive Rebound %32.9%

30.7%Free Throw Rate34.7%

6.5Average Margin1.6

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Montana State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY52.7%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMMontana State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (53.6–50.0), offensive efficiency (114.4–107.3), defensive efficiency (104.9–105.2), net efficiency (9.5–2.1).

Cal State Northridge COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (-0.6–-3.7), offensive rebounding (32.9–28.1), free throw rate (34.7–30.7).

Final

Montana State

70—82

Cal State Northridge

Cal State Northridge by 12 • 75.9 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Montana StateTEAM STATCal State Northridge

23-58FG31-65

40.0%FG%48.0%

7-293PT8-21

24.0%3PT%38.0%

17-25FT12-25

68.0%FT%48.0%

27Rebounds42

6Offensive Rebounds11

12Assists16

12Turnovers10

4Steals8

1Blocks4

21Fouls23

Player Box Score

Montana State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Robert Ford III	Guard	36	6-12	4-8	7-8	9	2	2	0	23
Brian Goracke	Forward	35	5-14	2-9	2-2	5	2	0	0	14
Brandon Walker	F	14	5-9	0-0	3-6	3	0	0	0	13
Chika Nduka	Forward	26	3-7	0-0	4-6	3	2	1	0	10
Tyler Patterson	Guard	34	2-11	1-10	0-0	2	2	0	0	5
Eddie Turner III	Guard	26	2-3	0-1	1-3	1	2	0	0	5
Jaden Geron	G	21	0-2	0-1	0-0	2	1	0	1	0
Sam Lecholat	Forward	8	0-0	0-0	0-0	2	1	1	0	0

Cal State Northridge

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
De'Sean Allen-Eikens	Forward	32	10-14	2-2	1-6	6	2	0	0	23
Dionte Bostick	Guard	32	4-13	2-6	8-9	8	3	3	0	18
Jordan Brinson	G	34	7-12	2-5	0-0	5	6	1	2	16
Keonte Jones	G	34	4-8	0-1	0-2	9	4	1	1	8
Bryan Ndjonga	F	9	2-3	1-2	2-4	2	0	0	0	7
Gianni Hunt	G	14	2-8	1-5	1-4	1	1	1	0	6
Mahmoud Fofana	F	16	2-4	0-0	0-0	4	0	0	0	4
Jasman Sangha	Forward	17	0-3	0-0	0-0	2	0	2	1	0
Dearon Tucker	Center	12	0-0	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

75.9Possessions75.9

92.2Offensive Efficiency108.0

108.0Defensive Efficiency92.2

-15.8Net Efficiency15.8

45.7%Effective FG%53.8%

50.1%True Shooting %53.3%

15.8%Turnover Rate13.2%

43.1%Free Throw Rate38.5%

50.0%3-Point Rate32.3%

1.00Assist / Turnover1.60

Game Summary

Cal State Northridge won by 12 points. The game played at approximately 75.9 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.