Winthrop

23-11

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

31.3%Winthrop

68.7%Florida State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADFlorida State -4.0

PROJECTED TOTAL162.9

MODEL MONEYLINEFlorida State -219

Florida State

18-15

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreWinthrop 79

Projected Total162.9

Projected ScoreFlorida State 83

Team Comparison

WinthropMetricFlorida State

56.2MMH Power Index58.7

115.6Offensive Efficiency111.9

104.3Defensive Efficiency108.5

11.3Net Efficiency3.4

-3.6Strength of Schedule5.7

2.8Last 10 Net Efficiency7.6

72.4Tempo71.8

51.2%Effective FG%52.4%

15.0%Turnover Rate15.2%

35.5%Offensive Rebound %30.3%

44.4%Free Throw Rate35.2%

8.2Average Margin2.4

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Winthrop HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY68.7%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMWinthrop holds the advantage in offensive efficiency (115.6–111.9), defensive efficiency (104.3–108.5), net efficiency (11.3–3.4), ball security (15.0–15.2).

Florida State COUNTERS WITHMMH Power Index (58.7–56.2), strength of schedule (5.7–-3.6), recent form (7.6–2.8).

Final

Winthrop

61—67

Florida State

Florida State by 6 • 75.4 estimated possessions

Team Stats

WinthropTEAM STATFlorida State

17-51FG17-54

33.0%FG%31.0%

7-163PT3-18

44.0%3PT%17.0%

20-27FT30-42

74.0%FT%71.0%

43Rebounds36

12Offensive Rebounds12

9Assists8

24Turnovers13

2Steals14

3Blocks10

28Fouls24

Player Box Score

Winthrop

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	BLK	PTS
Nick Johnson	Not Available	30	4-10	2-3	5-5	4	2	0	15
Kelton Talford	Not Available	22	4-9	0-0	6-8	8	0	1	14
K.J. Doucet	Forward	19	2-8	2-4	3-4	4	0	0	9
Kasen Harrison	Not Available	34	1-8	1-4	5-8	2	5	0	8
Yoro Diallo	F	18	2-2	1-1	0-0	2	2	0	5
Sin'Cere McMahon	Not Available	13	1-4	1-4	0-0	1	0	0	3
Xavier McKelvy	Guard	13	1-3	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	2
Noah Van Bibber	Guard	5	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0

Florida State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Primo Spears	Guard	24	2-11	1-6	7-9	2	2	3	0	12
Jalen Warley	G	21	3-6	0-0	6-8	4	2	0	0	12
Jamir Watkins	Guard	29	3-10	0-1	5-8	6	2	3	2	11
De'Ante Green	F	20	2-4	0-0	6-6	5	0	1	1	10
Darin Green Jr.	Guard	28	3-9	2-6	0-0	3	1	4	1	8
Baba Miller	F	19	0-1	0-1	4-7	3	1	0	2	4
Jaylan Gainey	Forward	19	1-1	0-0	1-2	4	0	2	0	3
Josh Nickelberry	Guard	10	1-2	0-1	1-2	0	0	0	0	3
Taylor Bol Bowen	F	15	1-5	0-1	0-0	6	0	0	3	2
Chandler Jackson	G	12	1-4	0-1	0-0	1	0	1	1	2
Tom House	G	2	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Sola Adebisi	F	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

75.4Possessions75.4

80.9Offensive Efficiency88.9

88.9Defensive Efficiency80.9

-8.0Net Efficiency8.0

40.2%Effective FG%34.3%

47.8%True Shooting %45.3%

31.7%Turnover Rate17.3%

52.9%Free Throw Rate77.8%

31.4%3-Point Rate33.3%

0.38Assist / Turnover0.62

Game Summary

Florida State won by 6 points. The game played at approximately 75.4 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Turnover Rate.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.