Fresno State

13-19

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

30.1%Fresno State

69.9%San Francisco

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADSan Francisco -6.0

PROJECTED TOTAL147.9

MODEL MONEYLINESan Francisco -232

San Francisco

17-16

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreFresno State 71

Projected Total147.9

Projected ScoreSan Francisco 77

Team Comparison

Fresno StateMetricSan Francisco

47.1MMH Power Index50.1

104.9Offensive Efficiency110.4

104.9Defensive Efficiency108.2

0.0Net Efficiency2.2

1.5Strength of Schedule1.4

-6.0Last 10 Net Efficiency-8.7

69.4Tempo67.6

51.3%Effective FG%51.9%

18.2%Turnover Rate16.1%

28.2%Offensive Rebound %31.8%

35.5%Free Throw Rate40.5%

0.0Average Margin1.5

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

San Francisco HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY69.9%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMSan Francisco holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (50.1–47.1), offensive efficiency (110.4–104.9), net efficiency (2.2–0.0), shooting efficiency (51.9–51.3).

Fresno State COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (104.9–108.2), strength of schedule (1.5–1.4), recent form (-6.0–-8.7).

Final

Fresno State

57—77

San Francisco

San Francisco by 20 • 67.2 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Fresno StateTEAM STATSan Francisco

20-45FG29-60

44.0%FG%48.0%

3-183PT15-29

17.0%3PT%52.0%

14-21FT4-7

67.0%FT%57.0%

28Rebounds30

6Offensive Rebounds10

6Assists15

18Turnovers14

6Steals11

4Blocks3

7Fouls20

Player Box Score

Fresno State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Xavier DuSell	Guard	28	3-6	3-6	0-0	1	0	0	0	9
Isaiah Pope	Guard	25	1-4	0-3	6-6	1	1	0	0	8
Leo Colimerio	Forward	19	2-3	0-0	4-5	4	0	0	0	8
Jalen Weaver	Guard	19	3-7	0-2	2-3	0	1	0	0	8
Isaiah Hill	Guard	29	3-10	0-4	1-2	5	3	2	0	7
Enoch Boakye	Forward	23	3-3	0-0	1-5	8	0	1	1	7
Isaac Taveras	G	16	3-7	0-1	0-0	4	1	1	0	6
Eduardo Andre	Center	23	2-2	0-0	0-0	5	0	2	3	4
Donavan Yap	Guard	18	0-3	0-2	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

San Francisco

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Malik Thomas	G	30	8-12	4-6	2-2	2	1	1	0	22
Marcus Williams	Guard	31	4-12	3-9	0-0	4	4	1	1	11
Mike Sharavjamts	G	28	4-7	2-4	0-0	2	2	1	0	10
Jonathan Mogbo	Forward	28	4-10	0-0	1-2	12	1	4	2	9
Ryan Beasley	G	21	3-5	1-1	0-1	1	4	1	0	7
Josh Kunen	Forward	18	2-3	2-3	0-0	3	1	2	0	6
Isaiah Hawthorne	Forward	11	2-4	2-3	0-0	1	0	1	0	6
Ndewedo Newbury	F	17	1-3	1-2	1-2	3	2	0	0	4
Junjie Wang	F	3	1-2	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	2
Volodymyr Markovetskyy	Center	5	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Stefan Todorovic	Forward	5	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Justin Bieker	Guard	3	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

67.2Possessions67.2

84.8Offensive Efficiency114.6

114.6Defensive Efficiency84.8

-29.8Net Efficiency29.8

47.8%Effective FG%60.8%

51.8%True Shooting %60.8%

26.9%Turnover Rate20.8%

46.7%Free Throw Rate11.7%

40.0%3-Point Rate48.3%

0.33Assist / Turnover1.07

Game Summary

San Francisco won by 20 points. The game played at approximately 67.2 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.