Alabama State

10-22

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

3.1%Alabama State

96.9%Auburn

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADAuburn -21.5

PROJECTED TOTAL159.7

MODEL MONEYLINEAuburn -3126

Auburn

21-16

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreAlabama State 69

Projected Total159.7

Projected ScoreAuburn 91

Team Comparison

Alabama StateMetricAuburn

38MMH Power Index64.4

101.7Offensive Efficiency118.8

107.4Defensive Efficiency113.0

-5.7Net Efficiency5.8

-6.2Strength of Schedule7.5

0.0Last 10 Net Efficiency8.0

71.9Tempo69.8

48.2%Effective FG%53.1%

18.2%Turnover Rate14.5%

32.6%Offensive Rebound %36.5%

35.8%Free Throw Rate43.8%

-4.1Average Margin4.1

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Auburn HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY96.9%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

10–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMAuburn holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (64.4–38.0), offensive efficiency (118.8–101.7), net efficiency (5.8–-5.7), strength of schedule (7.5–-6.2).

Alabama State COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (107.4–113.0).

Final

Alabama State

62—82

Auburn

Auburn by 20 • 75.9 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Alabama StateTEAM STATAuburn

22-56FG25-54

39.0%FG%46.0%

4-183PT6-24

22.0%3PT%25.0%

14-16FT26-32

88.0%FT%81.0%

27Rebounds41

6Offensive Rebounds11

7Assists14

18Turnovers18

14Steals11

5Blocks5

24Fouls13

Player Box Score

Alabama State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Isaiah Range	Guard	33	7-15	2-8	0-1	2	1	2	0	16
TJ Madlock	Guard	25	5-11	0-1	6-7	3	1	2	1	16
Kendal Parker	G	27	5-10	2-4	2-2	1	1	2	0	14
Ubong Okon	C	32	1-1	0-0	2-2	7	1	1	3	4
CJ Hines	G	27	1-8	0-2	2-2	3	1	1	0	4
Sean Smith	G	16	1-7	0-1	2-2	1	0	1	0	4
Micah Octave	G	20	1-2	0-1	0-0	3	1	3	0	2
JaSteven Walker	F	17	1-2	0-1	0-0	1	1	2	0	2
Eric Coleman	Forward	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Jabari Williams	Guard	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	1	0
Londan Coleman	Guard	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Auburn

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jaylin Williams	Forward	20	7-10	0-3	6-6	3	1	1	0	20
Johni Broome	Forward	23	5-9	0-2	6-9	13	1	3	3	16
K.D. Johnson	Guard	16	3-6	3-5	4-4	2	0	2	0	13
Aden Holloway	G	19	2-6	2-6	0-0	1	4	0	0	6
Chris Moore	Forward	14	1-2	0-1	4-4	0	0	0	0	6
Tre Donaldson	G	20	2-5	1-2	0-1	3	4	1	0	5
Chaney Johnson	Forward	19	1-2	0-0	2-4	5	1	0	0	4
Dylan Cardwell	Center	16	2-2	0-0	0-0	1	0	1	2	4
Denver Jones	Guard	23	1-5	0-2	1-1	2	0	1	0	3
Chad Baker-Mazara	G	18	1-5	0-2	1-1	3	3	1	0	3
Lior Berman	Guard	8	0-0	0-0	2-2	2	0	0	0	2
Addarin Scott	F	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Blake Muschalek	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	1	0	0
Carter Sobera	Guard	1	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Jalen Harper	Guard	1	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

75.9Possessions75.9

81.7Offensive Efficiency108.0

108.0Defensive Efficiency81.7

-26.4Net Efficiency26.4

42.9%Effective FG%51.9%

48.7%True Shooting %59.2%

23.8%Turnover Rate23.6%

28.6%Free Throw Rate59.3%

32.1%3-Point Rate44.4%

0.39Assist / Turnover0.78

Game Summary

Auburn won by 20 points. The game played at approximately 75.9 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.