Butler

16-16

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

33.7%Butler

66.3%Providence

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADProvidence -4.7

PROJECTED TOTAL168.3

MODEL MONEYLINEProvidence -197

Providence

15-18

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreButler 82

Projected Total168.3

Projected ScoreProvidence 86

Team Comparison

ButlerMetricProvidence

52.7MMH Power Index54.2

111.7Offensive Efficiency115.0

109.1Defensive Efficiency113.2

2.6Net Efficiency1.8

3.1Strength of Schedule4.0

-8.5Last 10 Net Efficiency-1.3

71.1Tempo74.2

51.2%Effective FG%55.0%

15.9%Turnover Rate16.7%

34.4%Offensive Rebound %31.8%

42.9%Free Throw Rate37.3%

1.8Average Margin1.3

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Butler HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY66.3%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–5

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMButler holds the advantage in defensive efficiency (109.1–113.2), net efficiency (2.6–1.8), ball security (15.9–16.7), offensive rebounding (34.4–31.8).

Providence COUNTERS WITHMMH Power Index (54.2–52.7), offensive efficiency (115.0–111.7), strength of schedule (4.0–3.1).

Final

Butler

75—85

Providence

Providence by 10 • 75.5 estimated possessions

Team Stats

ButlerTEAM STATProvidence

29-74FG30-66

39.0%FG%45.0%

6-183PT12-33

33.0%3PT%36.0%

11-20FT13-22

55.0%FT%59.0%

43Rebounds47

12Offensive Rebounds9

6Assists17

5Turnovers7

5Steals3

4Blocks6

19Fouls18

Player Box Score

Butler

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
DJ Davis	Guard	39	7-16	2-7	6-6	4	2	2	1	22
Pierre Brooks II	Forward	40	8-17	2-5	2-2	7	0	1	0	20
Landon Moore	G	16	6-9	2-2	0-1	3	0	0	0	14
Jahmyl Telfort	Forward	43	4-16	0-2	0-1	5	2	0	1	8
Posh Alexander	Guard	36	2-8	0-0	2-4	10	2	1	0	6
Jalen Thomas	Forward	32	1-3	0-1	1-3	8	0	1	1	3
Andre Screen	Center	9	1-4	0-0	0-3	4	0	0	1	2
Finley Bizjack	G	6	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Boden Kapke	F	4	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Providence

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Devin Carter	Guard	40	8-15	4-9	4-4	9	2	1	1	24
Josh Oduro	Forward	33	8-14	1-2	2-4	14	6	0	3	19
Ticket Gaines	Guard	41	6-13	5-12	0-0	5	2	0	2	17
Bryce Hopkins	F	41	5-14	0-5	2-7	13	0	0	0	12
Jayden Pierre	G	39	2-6	2-4	2-2	2	6	0	0	8
Garwey Dual	G	17	1-2	0-0	1-1	2	1	1	0	3
Rafael Castro	F	4	0-0	0-0	2-4	2	0	1	0	2
Corey Floyd Jr.	G	10	0-2	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

75.5Possessions75.5

99.3Offensive Efficiency112.6

112.6Defensive Efficiency99.3

-13.2Net Efficiency13.2

43.2%Effective FG%54.5%

44.9%True Shooting %55.6%

6.5%Turnover Rate9.4%

27.0%Free Throw Rate33.3%

24.3%3-Point Rate50.0%

1.20Assist / Turnover2.43

Game Summary

Providence won by 10 points. The game played at approximately 75.5 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.