Rutgers

13-20

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

41.0%Rutgers

59.0%Mississippi State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADMississippi State -3.8

PROJECTED TOTAL155.3

MODEL MONEYLINEMississippi State -144

Mississippi State

13-19

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreRutgers 76

Projected Total155.3

Projected ScoreMississippi State 80

Team Comparison

RutgersMetricMississippi State

45.9MMH Power Index44.6

104.2Offensive Efficiency107.4

112.2Defensive Efficiency113.2

-8.0Net Efficiency-5.8

3.9Strength of Schedule5.0

-1.6Last 10 Net Efficiency-17.5

67.4Tempo72.3

47.4%Effective FG%51.6%

15.0%Turnover Rate16.1%

29.2%Offensive Rebound %29.8%

36.3%Free Throw Rate30.9%

-5.4Average Margin-4.2

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Mississippi State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY59.0%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–5

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMMississippi State holds the advantage in offensive efficiency (107.4–104.2), net efficiency (-5.8–-8.0), strength of schedule (5.0–3.9), shooting efficiency (51.6–47.4).

Rutgers COUNTERS WITHMMH Power Index (45.9–44.6), defensive efficiency (112.2–113.2), recent form (-1.6–-17.5).

Final

Rutgers

60—70

Mississippi State

Mississippi State by 10 • 68.1 estimated possessions

Team Stats

RutgersTEAM STATMississippi State

23-62FG22-53

37.0%FG%42.0%

3-173PT4-16

18.0%3PT%25.0%

11-14FT22-26

79.0%FT%85.0%

26Rebounds47

7Offensive Rebounds13

10Assists14

8Turnovers14

6Steals6

3Blocks5

19Fouls13

Player Box Score

Rutgers

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Aundre Hyatt	Forward	34	6-11	3-6	3-4	6	0	1	1	18
Noah Fernandes	Guard	32	4-7	0-0	1-1	4	0	1	0	9
Gavin Griffiths	G	18	3-7	0-3	3-3	3	0	0	0	9
Mawot Mag	Forward	27	3-10	0-2	2-2	1	2	2	0	8
Derek Simpson	G	25	3-14	0-4	0-0	4	6	2	1	6
Jamichael Davis	G	22	2-5	0-1	0-0	1	2	0	0	4
Clifford Omoruyi	Center	20	1-3	0-0	1-2	0	0	0	1	3
Antwone Woolfolk	F	17	1-2	0-0	1-2	3	0	0	0	3
Austin Williams	Guard	4	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Oskar Palmquist	Forward	1	0-2	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Mississippi State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Cameron Matthews	Forward	38	6-7	0-0	6-6	11	1	1	0	18
Jimmy Bell Jr.	Forward	29	6-11	0-0	5-6	18	1	0	3	17
Dashawn Davis	Guard	32	4-10	2-4	3-4	1	7	4	0	13
Shakeel Moore	Guard	29	4-9	1-3	1-2	5	2	1	2	10
D.J. Jeffries	Forward	34	2-8	1-5	1-2	6	0	0	0	6
Josh Hubbard	G	21	0-5	0-3	2-2	1	3	0	0	2
Shawn Jones Jr.	G	9	0-2	0-0	2-2	1	0	0	0	2
KeShawn Murphy	F	8	0-1	0-1	2-2	1	0	0	0	2

Advanced Game Stats

68.1Possessions68.1

88.1Offensive Efficiency102.8

102.8Defensive Efficiency88.1

-14.7Net Efficiency14.7

39.5%Effective FG%45.3%

43.7%True Shooting %53.6%

11.5%Turnover Rate21.1%

22.6%Free Throw Rate49.1%

27.4%3-Point Rate30.2%

1.25Assist / Turnover1.00

Game Summary

Mississippi State won by 10 points. The game played at approximately 68.1 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.