UC Santa Barbara

18-14

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

45.6%UC Santa Barbara

54.4%UC Davis

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADUC Davis -1.8

PROJECTED TOTAL153.9

MODEL MONEYLINEUC Davis -119

UC Davis

19-14

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreUC Santa Barbara 76

Projected Total153.9

Projected ScoreUC Davis 78

Team Comparison

UC Santa BarbaraMetricUC Davis

51.4MMH Power Index48.4

113.2Offensive Efficiency107.2

106.1Defensive Efficiency103.7

7.1Net Efficiency3.5

-2.0Strength of Schedule-1.9

-1.7Last 10 Net Efficiency-0.1

68.5Tempo72.4

54.8%Effective FG%52.3%

18.7%Turnover Rate17.7%

32.5%Offensive Rebound %26.7%

37.9%Free Throw Rate41.5%

4.8Average Margin2.5

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

UC Santa Barbara HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY54.4%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–5

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMUC Santa Barbara holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (51.4–48.4), offensive efficiency (113.2–107.2), net efficiency (7.1–3.5), shooting efficiency (54.8–52.3).

UC Davis COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (103.7–106.1), strength of schedule (-1.9–-2.0), recent form (-0.1–-1.7).

Final

UC Santa Barbara

62—76

UC Davis

UC Davis by 14 • 73.7 estimated possessions

Team Stats

UC Santa BarbaraTEAM STATUC Davis

22-50FG27-59

44.0%FG%46.0%

3-123PT6-20

25.0%3PT%30.0%

15-23FT16-22

65.0%FT%73.0%

30Rebounds35

2Offensive Rebounds7

7Assists18

16Turnovers10

3Steals9

2Blocks5

16Fouls22

Player Box Score

UC Santa Barbara

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Yohan Traore	F	35	10-14	0-0	5-9	4	0	0	0	25
Ajay Mitchell	Guard	26	4-9	0-2	4-6	2	3	1	0	12
Josh Pierre-Louis	Guard	32	2-6	0-2	3-4	4	4	1	0	7
Cole Anderson	Guard	31	2-12	2-4	0-0	3	0	0	0	6
Ariel Bland	F	24	2-3	0-0	2-2	5	0	0	1	6
Ben Shtolzberg	G	18	1-3	1-2	0-0	2	0	1	0	3
Matija Belic	F	8	1-1	0-0	1-1	2	0	0	1	3
Jason Fontenet II	G	21	0-2	0-2	0-1	1	0	0	0	0
Evans Kipruto	C	5	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

UC Davis

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Elijah Pepper	Guard	32	9-19	5-10	4-4	2	2	1	0	27
Kane Milling	Guard	33	3-10	1-5	4-4	0	0	0	1	11
TY Johnson	Guard	29	4-12	0-3	1-2	4	10	1	0	9
Ade Adebayo	Forward	27	4-5	0-1	1-1	4	0	1	0	9
Niko Rocak	F	25	3-5	0-0	2-4	6	0	3	3	8
Leo DeBruhl	Guard	17	2-4	0-1	2-2	4	3	1	0	6
Francesco Borra	Forward	14	1-2	0-0	2-2	5	1	2	0	4
Pablo Tamba	F	7	1-2	0-0	0-1	2	1	0	0	2
Sione Lose	Guard	15	0-0	0-0	0-2	1	1	0	1	0
Connor Sevilla	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

73.7Possessions73.7

84.1Offensive Efficiency103.1

103.1Defensive Efficiency84.1

-19.0Net Efficiency19.0

47.0%Effective FG%50.8%

50.9%True Shooting %54.7%

21.4%Turnover Rate13.8%

46.0%Free Throw Rate37.3%

24.0%3-Point Rate33.9%

0.44Assist / Turnover1.80

Game Summary

UC Davis won by 14 points. The game played at approximately 73.7 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.