Montana State

18-14

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

58.6%Montana State

41.4%Idaho State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADMontana State -2.3

PROJECTED TOTAL152.0

MODEL MONEYLINEMontana State -142

Idaho State

13-20

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreMontana State 77

Projected Total152.0

Projected ScoreIdaho State 75

Team Comparison

Montana StateMetricIdaho State

53.6MMH Power Index45.9

114.4Offensive Efficiency111.0

104.9Defensive Efficiency113.4

9.5Net Efficiency-2.4

-3.7Strength of Schedule0.2

4.9Last 10 Net Efficiency-9.6

68.1Tempo67.1

55.1%Effective FG%52.2%

14.7%Turnover Rate16.5%

28.1%Offensive Rebound %33.9%

30.7%Free Throw Rate39.1%

6.5Average Margin-1.6

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Montana State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY58.6%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMMontana State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (53.6–45.9), offensive efficiency (114.4–111.0), defensive efficiency (104.9–113.4), net efficiency (9.5–-2.4).

Idaho State COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (0.2–-3.7), offensive rebounding (33.9–28.1), free throw rate (39.1–30.7).

Final

Montana State

74—66

Idaho State

Montana State by 8 • 65.5 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Montana StateTEAM STATIdaho State

25-51FG23-48

49.0%FG%48.0%

5-173PT6-17

29.0%3PT%35.0%

19-22FT14-20

86.0%FT%70.0%

23Rebounds31

4Offensive Rebounds8

6Assists14

9Turnovers15

6Steals4

—Blocks3

20Fouls19

Player Box Score

Montana State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	PTS
Brian Goracke	Forward	36	11-15	2-4	5-5	8	0	1	29
Eddie Turner III	Guard	34	6-12	2-5	4-5	1	1	2	18
Robert Ford III	Guard	33	4-9	1-4	6-6	4	3	2	15
Brandon Walker	F	18	3-7	0-1	0-1	6	0	0	6
Chika Nduka	Forward	14	1-2	0-0	2-3	0	0	0	4
Sam Lecholat	Forward	14	0-1	0-1	2-2	1	0	0	2
Tyler Patterson	Guard	35	0-2	0-1	0-0	2	2	1	0
Jaden Geron	G	10	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0
John Olmsted	Forward	6	0-2	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0

Idaho State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Miguel Tomley	Guard	29	8-15	3-6	0-1	4	2	1	0	19
Brayden Parker	Center	21	7-8	0-1	3-5	2	0	0	1	17
Maleek Arington	G	40	1-5	0-2	9-10	2	7	2	0	11
Kiree Huie	F	33	4-8	0-0	0-0	10	2	0	2	8
AJ Burgin	Guard	21	2-4	2-4	0-0	5	2	1	0	6
Isaiah Griffin	F	30	1-6	1-3	0-0	2	0	0	0	3
Trent Johnson	F	12	0-0	0-0	1-2	1	1	0	0	1
Briggs Ranstrom	Forward	12	0-2	0-1	1-2	1	0	0	0	1
Gavin Gilstrap	Center	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

65.5Possessions65.5

113.0Offensive Efficiency100.8

100.8Defensive Efficiency113.0

12.2Net Efficiency-12.2

53.9%Effective FG%54.2%

60.2%True Shooting %57.4%

13.5%Turnover Rate23.3%

43.1%Free Throw Rate41.7%

33.3%3-Point Rate35.4%

0.67Assist / Turnover0.93

Game Summary

Montana State won by 8 points. The game played at approximately 65.5 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.