Sacramento State

10-21

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

16.2%Sacramento State

83.8%Idaho

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADIdaho -12.4

PROJECTED TOTAL158.3

MODEL MONEYLINEIdaho -517

Idaho

21-15

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreSacramento State 73

Projected Total158.3

Projected ScoreIdaho 85

Team Comparison

Sacramento StateMetricIdaho

43MMH Power Index53.2

106.1Offensive Efficiency111.6

112.0Defensive Efficiency104.3

-5.9Net Efficiency7.3

0.9Strength of Schedule-2.4

-7.8Last 10 Net Efficiency4.5

73.2Tempo69.7

48.5%Effective FG%52.8%

14.2%Turnover Rate15.1%

25.1%Offensive Rebound %29.5%

41.8%Free Throw Rate34.6%

-4.3Average Margin5.1

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Idaho HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY83.8%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMIdaho holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (53.2–43.0), offensive efficiency (111.6–106.1), defensive efficiency (104.3–112.0), net efficiency (7.3–-5.9).

Sacramento State COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (0.9–-2.4), ball security (14.2–15.1), free throw rate (41.8–34.6).

Final

Sacramento State

58—61

Idaho

Idaho by 3 • 62.3 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Sacramento StateTEAM STATIdaho

18-44FG21-52

41.0%FG%40.0%

9-153PT7-21

60.0%3PT%33.0%

13-20FT12-15

65.0%FT%80.0%

31Rebounds33

7Offensive Rebounds10

9Assists12

16Turnovers13

6Steals10

3Blocks—

12Fouls13

Player Box Score

Sacramento State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Duncan Powell	F	31	7-15	2-3	4-8	8	2	0	0	20
Akol Mawein	Forward	29	4-7	1-1	4-4	9	0	1	2	13
Zee Hamoda	G	32	4-6	4-4	0-0	2	1	2	0	12
Austin Patterson	Guard	34	1-5	1-4	2-4	3	2	1	0	5
Alex Kovatchev	G	15	1-3	1-3	0-0	0	0	0	0	3
Bowyn Beatty	F	12	0-3	0-0	3-4	2	0	0	1	3
Emil Skytt	G	29	1-4	0-0	0-0	2	4	2	0	2
Michael Wilson	G	11	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Jacob Holt	Forward	7	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Idaho

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	PTS
Quinn Denker	G	40	6-13	3-5	6-6	3	2	1	21
Julius Mims	F	33	7-11	3-3	1-2	9	1	2	18
Tyler Linhardt	F	27	4-9	0-3	1-2	6	3	2	9
Kristian Gonzalez	G	24	1-2	1-2	0-0	1	2	0	3
Tre Blassingame	G	30	0-2	0-2	2-3	3	2	3	2
Titus Yearout	G	13	1-4	0-2	0-0	0	0	1	2
Kyson Rose	Forward	12	1-3	0-1	0-0	2	0	0	2
Terren Frank	F	10	1-4	0-1	0-0	1	1	0	2
EJ Neal Jr.	G	8	0-4	0-2	2-2	2	1	1	2
Takai Hardy	Forward	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

62.3Possessions62.3

93.1Offensive Efficiency97.9

97.9Defensive Efficiency93.1

-4.8Net Efficiency4.8

51.1%Effective FG%47.1%

54.2%True Shooting %51.6%

25.6%Turnover Rate20.9%

45.5%Free Throw Rate28.8%

34.1%3-Point Rate40.4%

0.56Assist / Turnover0.92

Game Summary

Idaho won by 3 points. The game played at approximately 62.3 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.