Cal State Bakersfield

8-24

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

5.4%Cal State Bakersfield

94.6%UC San Diego

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADUC San Diego -20.2

PROJECTED TOTAL152.8

MODEL MONEYLINEUC San Diego -1752

UC San Diego

23-11

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreCal State Bakersfield 66

Projected Total152.8

Projected ScoreUC San Diego 86

Team Comparison

Cal State BakersfieldMetricUC San Diego

32.2MMH Power Index53.4

100.2Offensive Efficiency108.4

112.6Defensive Efficiency100.7

-12.4Net Efficiency7.7

-1.7Strength of Schedule-1.3

-18.5Last 10 Net Efficiency5.4

73.0Tempo69.8

46.4%Effective FG%53.1%

18.6%Turnover Rate16.4%

30.2%Offensive Rebound %26.9%

43.8%Free Throw Rate33.2%

-9.1Average Margin5.4

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

UC San Diego HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY94.6%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMUC San Diego holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (53.4–32.2), offensive efficiency (108.4–100.2), defensive efficiency (100.7–112.6), net efficiency (7.7–-12.4).

Cal State Bakersfield COUNTERS WITHoffensive rebounding (30.2–26.9), free throw rate (43.8–33.2).

Final

Cal State Bakersfield

64—76

UC San Diego

UC San Diego by 12 • 66.5 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Cal State BakersfieldTEAM STATUC San Diego

25-53FG24-51

47.0%FG%47.0%

7-153PT6-19

47.0%3PT%32.0%

7-13FT22-31

54.0%FT%71.0%

32Rebounds27

9Offensive Rebounds8

12Assists13

17Turnovers8

4Steals13

4Blocks5

21Fouls14

Player Box Score

Cal State Bakersfield

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Marvin McGhee III	G	24	7-12	4-8	0-0	2	1	0	0	18
Cameron Wilbon	Guard	25	5-7	1-1	0-2	6	0	2	0	11
Naseem Gaskin	Guard	22	4-4	0-0	0-0	3	4	0	2	8
Ugnius Jarusevicius	F	18	2-5	1-2	2-2	4	0	0	0	7
Corey Stephenson	G	17	2-4	0-0	3-4	2	0	1	0	7
Modestas Kancleris	Forward	26	2-4	1-2	1-1	7	3	0	2	6
Kaleb Higgins	Guard	26	3-11	0-2	0-2	1	3	0	0	6
Jaden Alexander	G	13	0-4	0-0	1-2	1	0	0	0	1
Fidelis Okereke	Forward	15	0-2	0-0	0-0	2	1	1	0	0
Tom Mark	F	13	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Dalph Panopio	Guard	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

UC San Diego

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Bryce Pope	Guard	36	7-13	4-6	5-6	5	3	1	0	23
Aniwaniwa Tait-Jones	Guard	35	7-11	0-0	3-5	6	2	3	2	17
Francis Nwaokorie	Forward	33	3-5	2-4	5-8	5	1	4	0	13
Hayden Gray	Guard	33	3-7	0-1	5-6	3	6	2	1	11
Emmanuel Tshimanga	Forward	18	1-2	0-0	4-6	5	0	0	2	6
Tyler McGhie	Guard	29	2-10	0-7	0-0	0	1	1	0	4
J'Raan Brooks	Forward	15	1-3	0-1	0-0	0	0	2	0	2
Camden McCormick	Guard	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

66.5Possessions66.5

96.2Offensive Efficiency114.3

114.3Defensive Efficiency96.2

-18.0Net Efficiency18.0

53.8%Effective FG%52.9%

54.1%True Shooting %57.8%

25.3%Turnover Rate12.2%

24.5%Free Throw Rate60.8%

28.3%3-Point Rate37.3%

0.71Assist / Turnover1.63

Game Summary

UC San Diego won by 12 points. The game played at approximately 66.5 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.